FRIDAY AFTERNOON QUARTERBACK: NFL WEEK SEVEN

BY ADAM GREENE

I take heart as we begin our Sunday picks for Week Seven. While I still managed to miss my pick against the spread in Thursday Night’s Philadelphia Eagles win over the New York Giants, I at least got the straight up victory. I’ve decided that bodes well for a week with plenty of oddball match ups and games we’ll be lucky to see played before the Sunday sun sets.

CLEVELAND BROWNS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (+3, O/U: 50)

The Browns are most certainly better than they’ve been, but they still have issues hanging with the NFL’s elite. Lucky for them, the Bengals aren’t that at all. Since Baker Mayfield took over at quarterback for Cleveland, he’s 4-1 against Cincinnati. Which would be a good thing for Mayfield if it didn’t just prove what a train wreck Cincy has been for years. Browns 28, Bengals 21

DALLAS COWBOYS AT WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM (pk, O/U: 46)

Anytime you see a team with a pick em against the Washington Football Team, you know there’s trouble. The WFT needs a complete rebuild, not only on the field, but with their logo and trademarks. A new owner wouldn’t hurt anyone’s feelings while we’re at it. The Cowboys are a team that’s in near open revolt over Mike McCarthy’s lack of coaching ability, something obvious to anyone who watched him lead Green Bay right into the dirt. Dallas owner Jerry Jones remains in denial, thinking his team is a few plays away from being good again, but that’s the kind of thinking that gets you to pay a plastic surgeon to turn your face into a whale scrotum. Cowboys 24, WFT 17

DETROIT LIONS AT ATLANTA FALCONS (-1, O/U: 55)

The Falcons got their post head coach firing win, so that could spell trouble in this one if they were playing any team other than the Lions, who should be lining up to loadi the U-Haul on their own head coach Matt Patricia. Falcons 31, Lions 20

CAROLINA PANTHERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-9, O/U: 51.5)

I haven’t put together my crazy parlay for this week just yet, but looking at that Panthers +280 moneyline has the wheels a-turning. I don’t have the guts to pull the trigger here, but I will say that Teddy Bridgewater ran the Saints offense last year as well as Drew Brees is this year. I’d suspect he has some notes for the Panthers defensive staff. Saints 27, Panthers 23

BUFFALO BILLS AT NEW YORK JETS (+13, O/U: 45)

The issue isn’t that the Jets will lose. If you want to guarantee you’ll make money, bet that moneyline at Bills -610. The concern is exactly by how much and, frankly, I think -13 might be generous. I don’t see any way New York even scores 13 points in the game. Bills 39, Jets 10

GREEN BAY PACKERS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (+3.5, O/U: 57)

This is a scary game for the Pack. The Texans, with a competent head coach, definitely have a playoff roster. Fortunately for Green Bay, they don’t have one. Romeo Crennel proved last week that his two past firings as an NFL head coach were not an accident. But Deshaun Watson and J.J. Watt can change the complexion of the a game and while many good teams bounce back after a tough loss, the Packers don’t feel like a team that will do that. Plus, they have a relatively easy schedule over the next month or so. They can afford to drop this one. Texans 30, Packers 27

PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (-1, O/U: 50.5)

The Titans are undefeated this season and 2-0 after they tried to end the NFL’s entire year with their COVID-19 plague rat stupidity. It’s high time some team, somewhere punished them for their hubris. But this is the NFL and karma has no power here. Titans 31, Steelers 30

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-2, O/U: 43.5)

The 49ers sacrificed another player for a win last week over the Rams, in this case running back Raheem Mostert. They’re running out of lambs at this point for victories and Cam Newton isn’t dropping two in a row. Patriots 24, 49ers 20

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT DENVER BRONCOS (+10, O/U: 45.5)

The Broncos shocked the world by beating the Patriots last week. They’d shock the universe with a win over Kansas City in this one, and I don’t think Zonthar of Gorbulgum is ready for that kind of universe-altering event. Not with his little zorblings on the way. Chiefs 39, Broncos 16

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (no line available)

No one knows if this game is going to happen. The Raiders have their entire offensive line in quarantine along with safety Johnathan Abram after they came in contact with someone with COVID-19. There’s a good chance this one either moves to Monday or Tuesday if all is well. Seeing that, every book has killed the line. If it does move, I’ll probably do a longer preview, but as it is, I like Jon Gruden to get a little revenge on Tom Brady when he can after the “Tuck Rule Game” cost them a chance to lose to the then St. Louis Rams in the Super Bowl. Plus, this is an odd numbered NFL week and that’s usually when Brady decided to accidentally eat gluten and ruin his day. Raiders 27, Bucs 23

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-9, O/U: 49)

This is how bad the Jaguars are; a team starting a rookie quarterback is a 9-point favorite and no one is batting an eye. The problem for the Jaguars is there’s no true reward for their badness at the end of the season. The Jets seemingly have already secured the No. 1 pick and Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence by just being the Jets. Jacksonville might as well stop tanking and try to play a little. It won’t change the end result, but it might keep LA from covering. Chargers 30, Jaguars 23

THIS WEEK

Straight up: 1-0

Against the spread: 0-1

LAST WEEK

Straight up: 9-5

Against the spread: 7-7

SEASON

Straight up: 65-25-1

Against the spread: 49-42

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