NFL MVP Week 9 Top Ten

Be sure to check out our analysis of last week as well as this week before placing a bet.

10. JIMMY GAROPPOLO +3300

One would think that if a team scored 51 points, their MVP candidate quarterback would have something to do with it. When the 49ers dropped 51 on Carolina, Jimmy G threw for 175 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. His numbers on the season aren’t great either, but he deserves some level of consideration in case the 49ers go 16-0 or something.

9. DAK PRESCOTT +3300

Dak’s fast start has come to a close, as he’s thrown for three touchdowns and four interceptions in his last three games. A few more games at his early-season level would have right back in the thick of things, though. If you think that will happen, these are good odds.

8. LAMAR JACKSON +900

Jackson is a fan favorite and media darling for this award. As we said last week, he’s a playmaker who was dominant on the ground in Baltimore’s win over Seattle. The rushing yards didn’t translate to touchdowns and the Ravens were aided by two defensive scores. It was a good performance that was perhaps overblown by the highlights. We should have a clearer picture when he faces the Patriots this weekend.

7. AARON RODGERS +225

If you think Rodgers is going to keep throwing for 300 yards with three touchdowns each week, he’s definitely too low. We just want to remind everyone that two weeks ago he was averaging 265 yards and 1.3 passing touchdowns per game. Not bad, but not MVP-caliber. He also has a tough schedule coming up. The Chargers, Panthers, 49ers and Bears have all given quarterbacks trouble.

6. DREW BREES +2500

It’s going to be hard for Brees to win considering how much time he missed. But in the two games he started and finished, he averaged 371.5 yards and threw five touchdown passes. After the bye, three of his next four games include Atlanta (twice) and Tampa Bay. Chances are he puts up awesome numbers in those games too. If you think Brees can keep up this pace, now is the time to bet on him.

5. CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY +800

Even though the Panthers got destroyed, McCaffrey still managed 155 yards from scrimmage. Chris Johnson’s yards-from-scrimmage record is still in his reach, but the Panthers obviously can’t make a habit out of 38-point losses if they want McCaffrey to be the MVP.

4. RUSSELL WILSON +275

Wilson’s numbers were disappointing this week considering how bad the Falcons are, but the Seahawks just didn’t need him after building a 24-point halftime lead. He’ll get the Bucs this week, who are just about as good of a matchup as Atlanta. If the Seahawks suffer another embarrassing home loss, Wilson’s MVP chances should take a big hit.

3. PATRICK MAHOMES +800

In the best-case scenario, Mahomes misses one more game. It’s anyone’s guess how he’ll respond to the injury, but he’s still probably the most talented quarterback in the league. He could easily come back and be as dominant as ever. At +800, it’s a defensible bet.

2. DESHAUN WATSON +1000

Watson threw a blind go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter on Sunday. Once more: he threw a blind go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter. And it’s not like that’s the only thing he did. Watson threw for 279 yards and three touchdowns and added 46 rushing yards to lead Houston to victory. Yet, last week, Watson’s odds were +600. Now they’re +1000. If you liked Watson last week, you should love him this week.

1. TOM BRADY +1600

We don’t mean to sound like a broken record, but Brady is leading an undefeated team and has comparable numbers to everyone on this list. His odds keep getting more attractive, going from +1200 last week to +1600 this week. The schedule is about to get tougher, but not by much. He’ll still have to face Buffalo and Dallas, but none of the other pass defenses are particularly frightening. Brady is the best MVP bet yet again.

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