Five home underdogs won outright last Sunday in a banner week for home dogs. It was almost an exceptional week for those betting this angle as Detroit and Atlanta both failed to cover the NFL betting line on Thanksgiving by a single point, and that would have made home underdogs 7-2 ATS in Week 13.
Miami, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Denver, and Houston all won outright. Four of those five teams were short underdogs of three points or less, but the Dolphins closed at +10 per the NFL betting odds against the Philadelphia Eagles. That led to Ryan Fitzpatrick summoning a little Fitzmagic to lead Miami past Philly, seriously endangering the Eagles’ playoff hopes.
There are currently three home underdogs in Week 14, but not all the lines have been released yet. Minnesota won’t be an underdog at home against lowly Detroit this week, but the Rams are likely to be a three to four point home dog against the Seahawks after Seattle moved to 10-2 on Monday night.
NFL WEEK 14 BETTING ODDS
CHICAGO BEARS +2.5 VS. DALLAS COWBOYS
Minnesota’s loss to Seattle on Monday Night Football has kept Chicago alive in the NFC playoff picture. The Bears are 6-6 and two games behind the Vikings with four games to play, and they need to beat Dallas on Thursday night to stay in contention.
Both teams are playing on typical rest since they took part in the Thanksgiving Day games, but the Cowboys are favored per the NFL betting odds largely due to perception of the Bears. Mitchell Trubisky has stunk out loud against any team other than Detroit this season, while Dak Prescott is thriving in a contract year. Chicago still boasts one of the most intimidating defenses in the league though, making the Bears a very live underdog this week.
BUFFALO BILLS +5.5 VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS
If the Bills were playing any other team, they would be receiving a lot more love this week. Buffalo impressed everyone on Thanksgiving with its performance in a win over Dallas, but no team is more beloved than Baltimore right now.
Lamar Jackson is the odds-on favorite to be named NFL MVP, and the Ravens are in line for the No. 1 seed. Baltimore is coming off a huge win over San Francisco on Sunday, and this team had won its previous five games by at least two touchdowns before nipping the 49ers 20-17.
Buffalo has a stingy defense, and this unit was the first to shut down New England’s offense this year. The Bills might be the best team to figure out how to stop Jackson due to their athleticism at defensive back, so the young quarterback could be flummoxed by what Buffalo has in store.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +2.5 VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Gardner Minshew II is Jacksonville’s quarterback once again. Minshew gave the Jaguars a spark after they were absolutely flat in the first half last week in a drubbing at the hands of Tampa Bay, but he will be facing a rejuvenated Chargers’ defense. Safety Derwin James is finally healthy once more, giving LA back one of its best players.
The Chargers may be ready to give up on the season though. Their loss to Denver dropped LA to 4-8, and this team’s postseason hopes are slim to none after the defeat. With that in mind, Jacksonville could end up closing as a favorite per the NFL betting odds.
ARIZONA CARDINALS +1.5 VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Arizona is no longer Pittsburgh West. The Cardinals have completely overhauled their roster under Kliff Kingsbury, and there have been some promising moments. They are more competitive than they were last year at 3-8-1, and Kyler Murray has taken significant steps forward in his development as a rookie.
The Steelers have been winning through defense, but the offense has been smoke and mirrors. Neither Mason Rudolph nor Devlin Hodges have played well, and that could bite Pittsburgh 3,000 miles away from the Steel City.
OAKLAND RAIDERS +3 VS. TENNESSEE TITANS
Tennessee is one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Titans have turned their season around with Ryan Tannehill under center instead of Marcus Mariota, winning five of their last six games and three in a row. Tannehill has given the offense the passing threat it needed to thrive, but Oakland has been inconstant with its performance all season.
Five of Oakland’s six losses this season have come by at least 18 points, while all the Raiders’ wins have been by one possession. That gives us an idea of what to expect from this Jekyll and Hyde team.
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