San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds

The San Francisco 49ers were one of the trendy teams to back in 2018, but they finished with an even worse record than they did in 2017. Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a season-ending injury in the third game of the season, and that submarined their chances. Interestingly enough, even though their Super Bowl betting odds are relatively low, they don’t have near the same hype this year.

Odds to Win Super Bowl LIV
San Francisco 49ers +2800

This is a make or break season for Kyle Shanahan. Although he was considered a much better coach than predecessors Jim Tomsula and Chip Kelly, he hasn’t had more success than either man. San Francisco has had seven coaches in the last 15 years, and Jim Harbaugh has been the only one to lead the team to a winning record.

Offensive Outlook

It isn’t only a make or break season for Shanahan, as the jury is still out on Jimmy Garoppolo. Garoppolo threw less than 100 passes in three seasons with the New England Patriots when San Francisco dealt a second-round pick to nab the signal caller. He was impressive enough in five starts with the 49ers for the franchise to sign him to massive extension, but he only lasted for three games last year.

Garoppolo did not look sharp in his first preseason outing, but he fared much better against Kansas City this weekend. He will need to quickly develop rapport with his receivers, as he hasn’t spent more than a few games throwing to any of his wide outs aside from Marquise Goodwin.

Goodwin is the fastest wide receiver in the league, and he is Garoppolo’s best weapon at the position. There is no proven second receiver aside from Goodwin, but the 49ers spent three Day 2 picks in the last two drafts trying to amend that. Dante Pettis showed some flashes as a rookie last year, and Deebo Samuel and Jalen Hurd were selected in this year’s draft.

Fortunately, San Francisco has a fantastic insurance policy for Garoppolo in George Kittle. Kittle is one of the most reliable tight ends in the NFL, and he is consistently able to get open. He was the 49ers’ leading receiver last season, becoming Nick Mullens’ favorite target once he took over the starting job. Kittle was one of the few bright spots on a squad that went under its team total odds in 2018.

Up front, the 49ers have a solid set of tackles in Joe Staley and Mike McGlinchey, but the interior line isn’t great. Tevin Coleman looks set to be the starting running back after being acquired from Atlanta this offseason, but he has to prove he can be an every down back. Coleman is a fantastic receiver out of the backfield, so Shanahan will look to use those skills just as he did when he was Atlanta’s offensive coordinator.

Defensive Outlook

San Francisco had one of the league’s best defenses in the four years that Harbaugh was the coach, but the 49ers have had one of the NFL’s worst defenses since 2015. The 49ers have made efforts to try to improve through the draft and free agency, yet nothing has been successful.

With the 49ers’ decision to take Nick Bosa at No. 2 in this year’s draft, the team has now selected a defensive lineman in the first round for four of the last five years. San Francisco further buoyed this unit by acquiring Dee Ford from Kansas City this offseason, so all that investment needs to start paying off.

Kwon Alexander has been a tackling machine. San Francisco brought him in from Tampa Bay to shore up one of the outside linebacker positions, and he should be an excellent addition. Fred Warner has shown a lot of promise as the team’s Mike linebacker.

This secondary is aggressive and they can hit (particularly Jaquiski Tartt), but there is a question of whether they can cover. Richard Sherman’s best years are behind him, and the situation at cornerback and nickel back is shaky.

Season Projection

Although San Francisco is considered to have less of a chance to win the NFC West than Seattle per the divisional betting odds, the 49ers don’t have as long of odds to win the Super Bowl. Perhaps that’s because San Francisco has a lower floor and a higher ceiling, but I’m not convinced the ceiling for this team is that high.

Shanahan is an excellent playcaller, but his performance as a coach has not been great and the 49ers have whiffed a lot in both the draft and free agency. The 49ers haven’t broken .500 since 2013, and I don’t believe they’ll do it this year.

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