Canada’s 2025 Prime Minister Race: Liberal Party Now the Favorite as Conservative Odds Shift

Polls and pundits are indicating Canada has already had enough of Donald Trump’s second term. 

The Great White North will be voting on its next Prime Minister no later than October 2025, and the winning party odds have shifted swiftly after opening in favor of the Conservative Party. 

BetOnline.ag has pushed the Liberal Party to -130 favorites while the Conservative Party is a -110 “underdog.” It’s basically a tossup, but much different than what the odds have been.

Here’s a timeline of the odds:

Party of Next Canadian Prime Minister

January 7, 2025

Conservative Party        -1500   (1/15)

Liberal Party                 +800     (8/1)

January 19, 2025

Conservative Party        -900     (1/9)

Liberal Party                 +500     (5/1)

January 26, 2025

Conservative Party        -500     (1/5)

Liberal Party                 +300     (3/1)

February 3, 2025

Conservative Party        -300     (1/3)

Liberal Party                 +200     (2/1)

February 26, 2025

Conservative Party        -200     (1/2)

Liberal Party                 +150     (3/2)

March 17, 2025

Conservative Party        -110     (11/10)

Liberal Party                 -130     (13/10)

Canadian PM odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time on this page: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/politics-futures/canadian-politics