Trudeau’s Resignation: Who Will Lead the Liberals Next?

Under mounting pressure from his party, Justin Trudeau announced yesterday that he will resign and end his nine-year stretch as Canada’s Prime Minister.

Trudeau said he would stay on in office until his Liberal Party can choose a new leader, and now there are betting markets for who that person will be.

BetOnline.ag has made Mark Carney the favorite to be the next party leader, but Chrystia Freeland is a very close second.

After that, you have a darkhorse in Dominic LeBlanc (8/1 odds) and then a host of longshots.

Additionally, there are odds for the party of the next Canadian Prime Minister, with the Conservative Party being a massive favorite.

The 1/15 odds imply a 93.8% probability the next PM will be from the Conservative Party.

Finally, after Trudeau’s exit, there are updated odds on the next “world leader” to leave his/her post. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is the favorite.

Canadian PM odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time on this page: https://betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/politics-futures/canadian-politics

Next Liberal Party Leader
Mark Carney	1/1
Chrystia Freeland	11/10
Dominic LeBlanc	8/1
Melanie Joly	25/1
Anita Anand	33/1
Francois-Philippe Champagne	33/1
Christy Clark	50/1
Prime Minister Party Post-Election
Conservative	1/15
Liberal	6/1
NDP	33/1
Bloc Quebecois	50/1
Next World Leader to Leave Position
Anthony Albanese	3/2
Benjamin Netanyahu	9/4
Lula da Silva	9/2
Volodomyr Zelenskyy	7/1
Vladimir Putin	12/1
Recep Tayyip Erdogan	16/1
Donald Trump	25/1
Xavier Milei	33/1
Emmanuel Macron	50/1
Keir Starmer	65/1