EURO 2020 Round of 16 – England vs. Germany
The Group of Death was bound to create some brutal draws in the Round of 16. Belgium’s prize for winning all three of their games will be taking on defending champions Portugal in the Round of 16 on Sunday, and England must square off against Germany on Tuesday. England will have an advantage since this match will be played at Wembley, but the Three Lions would rather play almost any other opponent no matter how poorly the Germans have played at times over the last two years.
This EURO 2020 Round of 16 match will be played on Tuesday, June 29, 2021, at 12 p.m. ET. It will take place at Wembley Stadium in London, England. The game will be broadcast on ESPN in the United States.
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Over/Under 2 and 2.5
England has yet to allow a goal in this tournament. The Three Lions haven’t been very prolific on the attack though despite their talent. Raheem Sterling has scored both of their goals and that led to 1-0 wins over Croatia and the Czech Republic. They were held at bay in a 0-0 draw with Scotland in their other Group Stage match.
We’ve seen a mixed bag from Germany through three matches. They lost their opener to France 1-0 and could have allowed three or four goals as Kylian Mbappe tore through their back line. Germany also had to settle for a 2-2 draw against Hungary, but the Germans throttled Portugal 4-2 in their other Group Stage match.
The big question for England ahead of this match is whether their attack will finally get going. Harry Kane and Marcus Rashford are two of the best forwards in the world, and while they have been close, they have yet to score goals. Phil Foden and Jack Grealish might be used more to give this team a spark, as the only offensively minded midfielder that can score is Mason Mount.
Fortunately for the Three Lions, the back line has been great. Harry Maguire is healthy and a force to be reckoned with in the middle of the pitch, and we’ve seen solid play out of John Stones, Luke Shaw, and Kyle Walker too. Jordan Pickford remains a strength in net, so there will be no Hand of Clod as we saw at the 2010 World Cup.
Which Germany will we see on Tuesday? If it’s the creative Germany that was ruthless in picking apart Portugal’s back line, they stand a good job of securing the upset. However, if it’s the Germany that was slow and deliberate, they will have a hard time getting past England.
The talent is there for Germany. Serge Gnabry, Leroy Sane, Kai Havertz, Timo Werner, Leon Goretzka, and Thomas Muller make for a dizzying array of star midfielders and forwards, but they have not equaled up to the sum of their parts. Some of the blame for this undoubtedly falls on the shoulders of Joachim Low, as this team has had some embarrassing losses over the last nine months.
Germany is certainly dangerous, but the value is in England on the three-way line. The Three Lions have been far more consistent, and they will have a delirious home crowd at their backs. There are far fewer questions for the English to answer, and they stand a decent chance of winning by multiple goals.