Bernie Sanders is the Odds-On Favorite to Win the New Hampshire Primary

The oddsmakers believe that Bernie Sanders should easily win in the Granite State on February 11. Sanders is a -200 favorite to win New Hampshire per the most recent election betting odds, and he is currently ahead in the polls and on FiveThirtyEight. The senator from Vermont won the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Primary over Hillary Clinton with 60.14 percent of the vote, and the feeling is that his message will resonate once again since the two states are very similar. That creates value in other candidates if you don’t think Sanders will win in New Hampshire though.

WHO WILL WIN THE 2020 NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY?

BERNIE SANDERS -200
JOE BIDEN +300
PETE BUTTIGIEG +700
ELIZABETH WARREN +800
AMY KLOBUCHAR +3300
ANDREW YANG +3300
TOM STEYER +5000
TULSI GABBARD +5000

Bernie Sanders has only a 36 percent chance of winning New Hampshire according to FiveThirtyEight. Sanders is polling at 23.5 percent on average, so this race is far from decided as supporters of other candidates could easily rally behind another choice to topple the Vermont senator.

Regardless, with this information it would be rather silly to bet on Bernie Sanders to win the New Hampshire Primary. Sanders should be closer to +200 than -200 according to FiveThirtyEight, and the other major contenders in the Democratic Party aren’t far behind him in the polls. Joe Biden is polling at 17 percent, Pete Buttigieg is polling at 14.4 percent, and Elizabeth Warren is polling at 13.7 percent, and a strong performance from any of the three in Iowa the week prior could lift them to a victory in New Hampshire.

The gaffe prone Biden is proving to be similar to Trump in one way. Nothing has stuck to the former Vice President, and he remains one of the favorites to win the Democratic Party nomination despite numerous missteps on the campaign trail.

Biden has yet to give a great performance during any of the Democratic debates, but he is still polling strong due to his name recognition and his association with Barack Obama. He is currently leading the field in the Hawkeye State, and a victory in Iowa could give him the momentum he needs to win in New Hampshire too. However, Sanders is currently the betting favorite to win Iowa after topping the Des Moines Register poll two weeks ago.

It’s hard to see Mayor Pete having much success in New Hampshire. Buttigieg is polling relatively well as the least known of the four main candidates, but he doesn’t have much of a ground game in New England in comparison to his three rivals. The former Mayor of South Bend did pick up some needed support from an outside group though as VoteVets will be launching an ad campaign for Buttigieg in the next two weeks.

Centrists don’t fare well in New Hampshire. Not only did Clinton lose in Iowa four years ago, Donald Trump won by a huge margin over John Kasich in the Granite State that same day too. That doesn’t bode well for Buttigieg’s prospects, but the next two candidates on the list are worth betting at these odds.

Elizabeth Warren stands a decent chance to win in New Hampshire. She hasn’t led in a poll here since November, but she is from nearby Massachusetts, and she had a great performance on the debate stage last week. She has been in the spotlight as she is polling better in Iowa, and a strong showing in Middle America could be the spark she needs to win here.

Warren’s odds should be closer to 5-1 or 6-1, so there is moderate value in betting on the Massachusetts senator at this price. She has a solid ground game in New Hampshire due to her proximity to the state too, lifting her chances.

Amy Klobuchar doesn’t have a great chance to win New Hampshire, but there is serious value in the Minnesota senator given these election betting odds. Klobuchar’s polling numbers have doubled in the last two weeks, and she is currently picking up seven percent of the vote. The New York Times’ decision to endorse her alongside Warren coupled with a fiery debate performance has seen her star rise, and her odds should be about 20-1 instead of 33-1.

The political betting season is heating up–to get all of the latest news and odds follow BetOnline.ag on Twitter!

BetOnline.ag on Instagram–Follow for the latest odds, stats and information!