Kamala Harris and Amy Klobuchar Favorites to be the Democratic Party’s VP in 2020
There has been a substantial shift in the Democratic Party Vice President odds over the last week. Joe Biden’s pledge to nominate a woman to be his vice president has led to all men being scrubbed from the list of favorites. Biden has close to an insurmountable delegate lead after the last few weeks, and it’s highly unlikely that he will backtrack on such a public promise. That has led to former presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Amy Klobuchar becoming the favorites to run on the ticket, as they have high profiles but wouldn’t necessarily see being a VP as beneath them.
WHO WILL BE THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY’S VICE PRESIDENT NOMINEE IN 2020?
KAMALA HARRIS +150
AMY KLOBUCHAR +160
STACEY ABRAMS +550
ELIZABETH WARREN +700
VAL DEMINGS +1200
CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO +2000
HILLARY CLINTON +2000
MICHELLE OBAMA +2000
TAMMY DUCKWORTH +3300
PETE BUTTIGIEG +5000
TAMMY BALDWIN +5000
I believe that Harris is Biden’s top choice to be his running mate. Although she is from a very safe blue state in California, she has national appeal and she is largely popular among both Democrats and Republicans. Harris has been criticized for being too much of a centrist, but both Biden and the DNC believe that moving to the center is the way to win in 2020.
There is a question of whether Harris makes the ticket stronger though. Biden has polled very well with African Americans and older voters, and Harris is from a state that was already going to vote blue no matter the nominee. Additionally, she is a rising star in the Democratic Party, and she may not want to tie her future to Biden. I wouldn’t back Harris to be the nominee at +150
Amy Klobuchar makes some sense to be the VP. She is a senator from a semi-swing state (Minnesota), and she fared much better than anyone expected in the presidential primaries. Klobuchar seems to have a broad appeal that could endear her to voters in purple states, and she is likely the safest choice of the bunch. The senator could help Biden win in the Midwest, an area that Hillary Clinton failed to carry in 2016.
When the odds to be the Democratic Party Vice President were first released, Stacey Abrams was considered the favorite to earn the nod. She made a name for herself challenging Brian Kemp in the 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election and selecting Abrams could be seen as an olive branch to the progressive wing of the Democratic Party. However, Abrams’ decision to accept $5 million from Mike Bloomberg dinged her reputation among progressives, and that might lead Biden to look somewhere else.
Elizabeth Warren would be a fantastic VP choice, but she is unlikely to join Biden on the ticket. Although Biden would love to have her, Warren is too much of a star in her own right, and she would be best served in a Cabinet position if Biden were to upset Donald Trump in November.
Val Demings is a relative unknown. She was elected to the House of Representatives in 2017, and she hasn’t had much time to make a name for herself. However, she has been one of the shining stars of the Democratic Party over the last three-plus years, and she has been getting some attention since she is from the ultimate swing state in Florida. There is some value in Demings to be the Vice President at 12-1.
Catherine Cortez Masto is the other virtual unknown with a real chance to be named Vice President. She succeeded former party powerbroker Harry Reid as one of Nevada’s senators, and she has already become the Chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Cortez Masto could really help Biden make in-roads with Hispanic voters, and that’s a group he has struggled to resonate with during the primaries. She would be acceptable to both the progressive and centrist wings of the Democratic Party, and she is the best play on the board.
There is little chance for anyone else to be selected Vice President, so save your money on the other longshots.
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