Sanders Favored To Win Sunday’s Democratic Debate

The 11th debate of the Democratic primary will take place on Sunday, March 15th in Washington, D.C. Originally scheduled to take place in Phoenix, Arizona, the debate has been shifted to Washington due to the coronavirus outbreak. Even the moderators had to change up as it was announced that Jorge Ramos will no longer be among them after coming in contact with someone who had COVD-19.

In terms of the debate itself, this might be last call for Bernie Sanders. The Vermont Senator has gone from frontrunner status to being a complete afterthought in a matter of weeks and if he can’t turn things around with a strong debate on Sunday, it might be over for him. The betting markets show he has virtually no chance of securing the 2020 Democratic Nomination but if he can make former Vice President Joe Biden look bad on Sunday, maybe he still has a shot?

DEMOCRATIC DEBATE BETTING ODDS

BERNIE SANDERS REFERENCE BIDEN’S AUTO WORKER RANT?

NO -500
YES +300

HOW MANY TIMES ‘TIME IS UP’ BE SAID BY MODERATORS?

UNDER 4½ TIME IS UP -250
OVER 4½ TIME IS UP +170

TOTAL NON-FACTS SAID BY BERNIE SANDERS

OVER 3½ NON-FACTS -140
UNDER 3½ NON-FACTS +100

TOTAL NON-FACTS SAID BY JOE BIDEN

OVER 2½ NON-FACTS -175
UNDER 2½ NON-FACTS +135

TOTAL TIMES ‘CORONAVIRUS’ BE SAID BY CANDIDATES

OVER 8½ CORONAVIRUS -150
UNDER 8½ CORONAVIRUS +110

TOTAL TIMES ‘STOCK MARKET’ BE SAID BY CANDIDATES

UNDER 5½ STOCK MARKET -300
OVER 5½ STOCK MARKET +200

TOTAL TIMES ‘TRUMP’ BE SAID BY CANDIDATES

OVER 27½ TRUMP -120
UNDER 27½ TRUMP -120

WHO WILL WIN THE DEBATE?

BERNIE SANDERS -170
JOE BIDEN +130

For Sanders to win on Sunday, he’s going to have to hammer away on Biden. That will include going over all of his gaffes – like when Biden stated that 150 million Americans were killed by gun violence at a previous debate – and showing that he’s unfit to be the nominee and President. Sanders biggest challenge has been that most Democrats believe that Biden is the party’s best opportunity to beat Trump in the 2020 Presidential Election. Sanders has been losing the case of electability. If he can turn that tide, he might start to win some of the upcoming primaries.

The challenge with Sanders is that he rarely goes after the low-hanging fruit, which is good and bad. On one hand, he likes to stay above the fray. For example, when Hillary Clinton was his biggest contender in 2016, he never brought up the situation with e-mails or Benghazi, even though that’s exactly what candidate Donald Trump did en route to his victory. Had Sanders done the same, the outcome might have changed.

Sanders again is faced with the same opportunity. If he brings up the fact that Biden forgot the words to the declaration of independence, argued with a union worker in Michigan this past week or that Biden would veto Medicare For All, Sanders can make him look pretty bad. If Sanders decides to go light on him and merely highlight his on strengths without knocking Biden down a peg, he’s not going to win the debate.

For better or worse, we’ve seen that Biden isn’t good at getting beat up on a debate stage. Former contenders Kamala Harris and Cory Booker hammered Biden at previous debates and that is why Biden fell from the front runner status in the first place. Sanders has to follow that strategy if he wants any short of winning this nomination.

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