Will Donald Trump Be Impeached?

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you know that articles of impeachment have been filed against Donald Trump. The House of Representatives has conducted hearings for the last few weeks to put the 45^th President of the United States squarely in the spotlight, and the lower house of Congress has charged Trump with abuse of power and obstruction of Congress.

Representatives will vote on whether to impeach Trump next week, and it’s expected that the vote will break on party lines. That means the motion should pass the House with relative ease, but it’s considered very unlikely to pass the Senate. There are impeachment betting odds regarding Trump available at BetOnline, so let’s take a look at the biggest topic in America.

WILL DONALD TRUMP LEAVE OFFICE VIA IMPEACHMENT?

YES +425
NO -800

It’s very unlikely that Trump is actually removed from office via impeachment. No president has been removed from office via impeachment in the history of the United States, as Andrew Johnson survived impeachment by a single vote and Richard Nixon resigned before he was impeached by Congress.

The current structure in the Senate makes it additionally unlikely that Trump is impeached. Republicans hold 53 seats in the upper chamber of Congress, and Mitch McConnell has been an adept Senate Majority Leader since January 2015. He has wielded his power very efficiently, and he is masterful at getting the GOP to circle the wagons and not break ranks.

Although there have been some dissidents within the GOP, Trump is still beloved by the vast majority of Republicans, and he has shaped the party in his image in his first few years in office. Many senators are loyal adherents to the sitting POTUS, and they have been adamant defenders of Trump since he was elected. It’s highly improbable that any GOP Senator moves against Trump now, barring a smoking gun that proves Trump is guilty of the charges.

The timing of the proceedings make it likely that Trump will remain in office too. We are less than 11 months away from the next United States Presidential Election, and Trump’s power is still strong. His support among voters means that no one will want to move against him, and the Republicans will want to be as unified as possible before a presidential election to maximize their votes. That’s why the three challengers to Trump in the Republican Primaries are largely dismissed.

However, there are reports of disagreements between McConnell and Trump over how to handle the impeachment proceedings. While McConnell is pragmatic and wants to dismiss all charges as soon as possible in order to bolster the GOP’s chances in the 2020 Presidential Election, Trump wants to turn the event into a spectacle. The former reality show star wants to see everything play out like a television drama, and that could complicate things for himself and the GOP.

The longer the proceedings play out, the worse things are likely to be for Trump. McConnell knows this and is constantly going to be asking his whip to count the votes in order to get the indictment charges dismissed as soon as possible, but the POTUS is hoping to drag things out in hopes of seeing it all blow up in Democrats’ faces.

With all this in mind, the best bet on this prop is the ‘No’ option. Trump’s chances of being removed from office are less than 10 percent, and Teflon Don continues to defy conventional wisdom with his staying power. Trump has survived scandals that would sink anyone else, and it doesn’t appear that the current charges against him have the weight to remove him considering what he has already overcome.

For Trump to be removed from office via impeachment, there needs to be a mountain of evidence with a proverbial smoking gun that his supporters can’t ignore. That’s unlikely to happen unless someone in his inner circle flips, but the only option appears to be former advisor John Bolton. Everyone else has remained loyal to Trump no matter the circumstances.

The political betting season is heating up–to get all of the latest news and odds follow BetOnline.ag on Twitter!

BetOnline.ag on Instagram–Follow for the latest odds, stats and information!