Dodgers vs. Yankees Odds & Analysis for Tonight’s Game

The Yankees are riding high with an eight-game winning streak, but with Juan Soto‘s injury and the Dodgers sending Cody Poteet to the mound for his first significant challenge, our MLB picks suggest that this streak might be in jeopardy.

Overview of the Matchup

It’s a marquee series when the New York Yankees host the Los Angeles Dodgers. As co-favorites for the World Series, both teams are aiming to make a statement tonight. The Yankees are on an impressive run, while the Dodgers have hit a bit of a rough patch, losing two of their last three games.

Dodgers (-145) vs. Yankees (+133) Prediction

Best Bet: Dodgers Moneyline

Odds: -145 at BetOnline

The betting market has seen significant movement towards the Dodgers, and it’s understandable. This is a prime opportunity to bet against the Yankees, given the circumstances. Therefore, the Dodgers are this writer’s best bet for tonight.

Current odds at BetOnline

Key Players and Pitching Matchup

Cody Poteet Takes the Mound for the Yankees

Third-year pitcher Cody Poteet is set to start for the Yankees as he continues his comeback. With limited data available, his performance so far includes two starts against subpar offenses (Cleveland Guardians and San Francisco Giants), where he allowed three earned runs combined.

His hard-hit rate is notably below the league average, which could be problematic against a powerful Dodgers lineup.

Poteet’s Stats:

• Starts: 2
• Earned Runs: 3
• Hard-Hit Rate: Below League Average

Powerhouse Dodgers Offense

The Dodgers’ offense, led by Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Freddie Freeman, has underperformed but still possesses significant power. All three players rank in the Top 10% for barrel rate, and they are expected to be impactful in tonight’s game.

Key Dodgers’ Offensive Stats:

• Mookie Betts: Top 10% Barrel Rate
• Shohei Ohtani: Top 10% Barrel Rate
• Freddie Freeman: Top 10% Barrel Rate

Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the Mound for the Dodgers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will pitch for the Dodgers. With Juan Soto out due to injury, the Yankees’ lineup is weakened, giving Yamamoto a favorable matchup. Despite some mixed starts recently, Yamamoto excels at inducing ground balls, which could be crucial against the Yankees.

Yamamoto’s Recent Performance:

• Ground Ball Rate: High
• Recent Starts: Mixed Results

Betting Analysis and Projections

Over/Under Bet

pairing the Dodgers moneyline bet with the Over, projecting a total of 9.7 runs could be a good wager. Despite Yamamoto’s potential for a solid outing against a Soto-less lineup, his barrel rate near the bottom of the league could present issues.

The Dodgers’ offense has also shown signs of waking up, with their last two games both hitting the Over.

Opening Odds

Bet Type	Odds
Run Line	Los Angeles -1.5 (+142)
	New York +1.5 (-172)
Moneyline	Los Angeles -106
	New York -110
Over/Under	Over 8.5 (-120)
	Under 8.5 (+100)

Spread and Over/Under Analysis

For the first time in nine games, the opposing team has taken more money and bets than the Yankees, making the Yankees underdogs with the Dodgers favored at -140. The Yankees have a slight edge in recent head-to-head matchups, winning six of the last ten games.

The Yankees’ recent hot streak has been profitable for many bettors, while the Dodgers have been less consistent, resulting in a slight moneyline loss.

In summary, tonight’s game is set to be a thrilling encounter between two top teams. The Dodgers appear to have the edge, particularly with key injuries in the Yankees’ lineup and a favorable pitching matchup.