The Best Bets To Win UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare

By BetOnline November 16, 2019

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The Ultimate Fighting Championship will head back to Sao Paolo, Brazil and the Ginasio do Ibirapuera this weekend. There will be plenty of familiar faces including a number of host Brazilians on the card for the UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare event on Saturday night.

Here is a look at the best bets from the card:

JAN BLACHOWICZ (24-8) VS. RONALDO ‘JACARE’ SOUZA (26-7)
ODDS: BLACHOWICZ -170

Blachowicz is the favorite to win this main event fight following an impressive knockout victory over Luke Rockhold at UFC 239. However, it won’t be an easy task to take down the Brazilian MMA legend and former Strikeforce Middleweight champion Souza on his own turf.

Blachowicz owns the slight reach advantage, which will be important as he tries to remain on his feet and win the striking battle against a superior grappler. The biggest question heading into this matchup is how much Souza can do after putting on additional 20 pounds in weight.

Blachowicz is the more experienced fighter at this weight class and he should be able to use his size as an advantage. As long as Blachowicz doesn’t get caught by Souza’s incredible ground technique, he should be able to pick his spots with his striking and find a way to come out on top in this main event tilt.

PICK: BLACHOWICZ

MAURICIO RUA (26-11) VS. PAUL CRAIG (12-4)
ODDS: RUA -275

MMA legend in Mauricio “Shogun” Rua is back as he’ll be taking on Paul Craig in a light heavyweight bout. While Rua hasn’t fought since December of last year, the long layoff might actually work in his favor as a veteran fighter that was in need of a refresh. He’s now 37 years old but has won four of his last five bouts.

Craig returned to the win column with a victory over Vinicius Moreira in his last outing. However, he has been extremely inconsistent alternating between wins and losses in each of his last six bouts. If that trend continues, he could be in line for another defeat on Saturday night. Shogun has the edge as a striker and the fighters are probably about even everywhere else. Rua should be able to handle Craig’s takedown ability much better than other fighters that have faced his opponent in the past. With the home fans coming in to see him specifically, Rua should win and cash in this bout.

PICK: RUA

MARKUZ PEREZ (11-2) VS. WELLINGTON TURMAN (15-3)
ODDS: PEREZ -110

While there is certainly some intrigue betting on Antonio Arroyo to beat Andre Muniz in their middleweight bout, this fight might actually provide us with one of the better values on the board.

Perez is coming off a big win and has proven he is capable of catching his opponents off guard with his striking ability. Turman is the younger fighter of the two, but he isn’t nearly as dangerous on his feet and he will rely on his takedown ability to try to bring this bout to the mat and play the submission game. While Turman can’t be completely overlooked, Perez has the potential to end this fight via stoppage at any given moment. He’ll also have the home crowd behind him, which should give him a slight edge in a very even matchup.