Andrew Cuomo Becomes the Main Threat to Joe Biden in the Race to Win the Democratic Nomination

Everything has changed over the last two weeks…across the world and in the race for the Democratic nomination. While Joe Biden is still the frontrunner due to his performance on Super Tuesday and in subsequent state primaries, there are growing concerns about the former Vice President. He has been largely absent during the current crisis, and there is a real chance that he could be passed over for the nomination in favor of a more electable candidate. Biden is still a heavy favorite to run against Donald Trump in 2020 per the Democratic Party nomination betting odds, but it’s far from a slam dunk.

WHO WILL WIN THE 2020 DEMOCRATIC PARTY NOMINATION?

JOE BIDEN -800

ANDREW CUOMO +1400

BERNIE SANDERS +1600

HILLARY CLINTON +2500

MICHELLE OBAMA +5000

Biden has a lead of more than 300 delegates on Bernie Sanders as of the first weekend of April, and he is very likely to enter the Democratic National Convention with a plurality of delegates. He has won eight of the last ten states contested, and Sanders’ two victories were in North Dakota and the Northern Mariana Islands, the two states or territories with the fewest delegates up for grabs in that stretch.

However, the former Vice President’s star has been more than a little tarnished over the last month. His continual flubs on television have given some potential voters cause for pause when weighing whether to vote for Biden or not, and his popularity among younger voters and Hispanic voters is dismal. Democrats need strong turnout from both demographics to win elections, and there are real doubts that Biden can bring people to the polls.

That’s not Biden’s biggest problem though. In 2019, several women alleged that Biden had either inappropriately touched or kissed them. There are multiple videos that show Biden looking rather sketchy in his interactions with women, and a former staffer has accused him of sexual assault. Biden’s campaign has dismissed the allegations, but they continue to cast a long shadow over his candidacy. That has played a part in Biden’s odds to win the nomination dropping from -1500 to -800 in the last couple weeks.

Sanders was the obvious challenger to Biden two weeks ago, but New York governor Andrew Cuomo has emerged as another option. Cuomo has been in the spotlight as New York has been particularly ravaged by the coronavirus pandemic, and many voters have been won over by his professional demeanor during his press conferences. The governor has shown humanity and competency in the face of this disaster, so there is growing sentiment that he could be the best choice to run against Trump. It would certainly be an interesting choice, but name recognition and positive feelings don’t equate to the nomination.

Progressives are still holding out hope that Sanders will be the nominee, but the Democratic Party establishment has made it clear they want nothing to do with the Vermont senator. They have tried to kneecap Sanders at every turn since they don’t believe he is electorally viable, so it’s hard to imagine that the party would do an about-face at this point. He can’t be completely counted out since he will have the second-most delegates behind Biden, but it’s going to be very difficult for Sanders to earn the nomination.

The other two people with odds to win the Democratic Party nomination have no real chance to win. Hillary Clinton already had her chance to beat Donald Trump and couldn’t get the job done, and Michelle Obama has shown no interest in the position. There is a chance for someone to come out of nowhere and win the nomination, but the wives of the last two Democratic Party presidents have no shot.

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