Democratic Nominee for the 2020 US Presidential Election 11/11/19 Update

There have been some important developments in the race to be the Democratic Party’s nominee in the 2020 United States Presidential Election. Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Pete Buttigieg have all closed the gap on frontrunner Elizabeth Warren in terms of the election betting odds, and longshot Beto O’Rourke has bowed out of the race. Another centrist billionaire is expected to enter the fray with Michael Bloomberg planning on filing paperwork this week, keeping the field remarkably crowded less than a year away from the election.

WHO WILL BE THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY NOMINEE FOR THE 2020 UNITED STATES PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?

ELIZABETH WARREN +200
JOE BIDEN +350
BERNIE SANDERS +600
PETE BUTTIGIEG +600
ANDREW YANG +1000
MICHAEL BLOOMBERG: +1200
HILLARY CLINTON: +1400
TULSI GABBARD: +2000
KAMALA HARRIS +3300
TOM STEYER +5000
AMY KLOBUCHAR +5000
CORY BOOKER +5000

The fifth Democratic Debate will take place next Wednesday in Atlanta, and the odds to win the Democratic Party nomination will likely shift once more after the event. Ten candidates have qualified to be on stage, but Michael Bloomberg and Hillary Clinton will be nowhere near the debate stage.

Neither Bloomberg nor Clinton has any chance of winning the nomination. Clinton already proved that she couldn’t beat Donald Trump during the 2016 Presidential Election, and her reputation is too tarnished for her to run for office again. As for Bloomberg, Tom Steyer has already shown that Democrats are not going to support billionaires with wealth and taxes being such divisive issues in the party. Popular progressives have seen their support bases grow with their attacks on billionaires, so it’s hard to imagine public sentiment doing a 180 in the next couple months.

Elizabeth Warren remains the favorite to win the Democratic Party nomination, and she is currently slightly ahead of her challengers in Iowa. Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Pete Buttigieg are each relatively close to Warren in the polls, but she has been on a slow, upward trajectory and her numbers are likely to rise again after the next debate. She resonates with voters in a way that few candidates can relate, and she is far more popular than centrists like Biden and Buttigieg.

Biden’s campaign has stopped the bleeding, but he has a long way to go before he becomes the frontrunner once more. He has made numerous mistakes on the campaign trail, and he likely does not have the stamina to survive the grind of the campaign trail. The former Vice President remains a contender largely due to the popularity of former President Barack Obama, and he has tried to tie his campaign to Obama repeatedly throughout the year. Unfortunately, he appears unlikely to win on his own merits.

The election betting odds on Bernie Sanders have fallen slightly as he has received most of the endorsements from progressive Democrats. Sanders’ policies remain extremely popular among his base, and he has a more solid foundation than any other candidate in this race. If Warren ends up falling behind him, she may end up throwing her support behind Sanders, making him a serious threat to become the next POTUS.

Pete Buttigieg is the most intriguing name in the race. He is the lone candidate to rise from relative obscurity to become a real contender, and he stands to gain the most if Biden drops out of the race. He has positioned himself nicely as a centrist, but he has received a lot of pushback from the progressive wing of the party due to his proposals and fundraising.

No one else stands a great chance of winning the Democratic nomination. Andrew Yang is too much of a centrist for the Democratic Party, and while he has received some publicity, he has yet to turn that into significant support. He has largely been treated as a non-factor on the debate state, and his policies amount to nothing more than window dressing once you dig deep.

Tulsi Gabbard is more of an old guard Republican than a Democrat, as you can see from her repeat appearances on FOX. Some Republicans have supported her campaign, but this is the Democratic Primary, and she does not have the support she needs within her own party.

Harris’ hopes are fading, but she is the only candidate at over 10-1 odds with any value. She is great on the debate stage, and she is still treated like a potential nominee by moderators. The California senator needs a great performance next week to give her star a boost.