Donald Trump Remains a Longshot to be Removed from Office

For just the third time in United States history, a POTUS has been impeached. The House of Representatives officially impeached Donald Trump last week, charging the 45th POTUS with abuse of power and obstruction of Congress. Trump joins Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton as the only two presidents to be impeached in American history, but as with Johnson and Clinton, it’s very unlikely that Trump is actually removed from office.

WILL SENATE VOTE TO REMOVE PRESIDENT TRUMP FROM OFFICE?

YES +2000
NO -5000

Something new would have to emerge in the coming weeks for Trump to be removed from office, because the Senate is not going to impeach the POTUS on these grounds. The Senate is controlled by Republicans, and this is now the party of Trump. Most GOP members of Congress have pledged unilateral support to Trump, and Mitch McConnell has the vast majority of GOP senators in lockstep.

Only a handful of GOP senators might vote to remove Trump from office. Alaska’s Lisa Murkowski, Maine’s Susan Collins, and Utah’s Mitt Romney are the three most likely Republicans to break ranks, but we’re unlikely to see others follow in their footsteps.

Trump is such a longshot to be removed from office because you need a two-thirds super majority in the Senate to remove a sitting president. The GOP has 53 seats in the upper chamber of Congress, so that means at least 20 Republican senators would have to vote against Trump. That’s not going to happen unless new evidence comes out implicating Trump in other schemes.

While it’s likely that more news emerges that implicates Trump in additional scandals, the United States’ most controversial president has been impervious to scandal for the last four years. The Teflon President has survived allegations that would have sunk any other candidate for public office because his base is strong, and they aren’t likely to turn against him with the US 2020 Presidential Election less than a year away.

WILL DONALD TRUMP RESIGN FROM THE PRESIDENCY DURING HIS FIRST TERM?

YES +600
NO -1200

It’s a little more likely that Trump resigns according to oddsmakers, but the chances of this happening are slim too. Trump is one of the most defiant politicians we have ever seen in American politics, and he lives to prove the naysayers wrong.

At this point, there is no scandal that can embarrass Trump into resigning from the presidency. Trump has weathered attacks on every front, and he continues to be supported by an overwhelming number of Republicans. He could end up resigning in his second term since he will be a lame duck president at that point, but the GOP is fully behind him with a general election less than a year away.

The only caveat here is Trump’s health. Trump was the oldest POTUS elected in 2016, and he will be 74 in 2020. He isn’t in the best shape, and a recent unannounced visit to a hospital led to rumors that Trump had some sort of health emergency in November.

Trump has some of the best medical treatment available due to his wealth and his office, and we haven’t had a president suffer major health complications in office since Franklin D. Roosevelt died shortly into his fourth term in April 1945. That makes this an unlikely outcome too, so the ‘No’ option is a decent bet considering it’s an 8.5 percent payout for less than a year’s investment.

The political betting season is heating up–to get all of the latest news and odds follow BetOnline.ag on Twitter!

BetOnline.ag on Instagram–Follow for the latest odds, stats and information!