World Series Game 1 Best Bets: Oct 24th, 2025
Summary
After a 32-year wait, the World Series returns to Toronto, where a red-hot Blue Jays lineup faces the Dodgers. While Los Angeles is a statistical juggernaut with a 1.40 team ERA, they are coming off an 11-day layoff. The Jays counter with Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .442, and the electric atmosphere of their home crowd. The matchup also features 22-year-old Trey Yesavage, the youngest Series starter ever.
Despite being heavy underdogs, Toronto has compelling advantages. Their contact-heavy offense has shown a knack for late-inning rallies, and the Dodgers’ bullpen is thinned without Alex Vesia. This creates an opportunity for the Jays to keep the game close, leveraging their home-field energy and offensive momentum against a favored opponent.
It’s been 32 years since the Blue Jays hosted a World Series game at Rogers Centre, and Friday night’s atmosphere will be electric. Toronto’s back with a contact-heavy, rally-driven lineup that’s stacked hits all postseason, and they’re catching the Dodgers coming off an 11-day layoff after sweeping Milwaukee.
On paper, LA is a juggernaut—9-1 in October with a 1.40 team ERA, and Ohtani’s last game was a historic performance. Toronto’s got firepower and a storyline. Vlad Jr. is smashing at a .442 clip (.930 SLG), the crowd’s behind them, and Yesavage—just 22—is rewriting the record books as the youngest World Series starter ever.
The Dodgers are heavy favorites, but this number doesn’t account for Toronto’s late-inning life, LA’s bullpen thinning without Alex Vesia, or the emotional surge that comes with hosting your first Fall Classic in three decades.
Best Bets Snapshot
| Bet | Line | Reason |
| Blue Jays +1.5 | -125 | crowd edge, LAD bullpen volatility, late-life equity |
| Vladdy Over 1.5 TB | +122 | Hottest hitter left, feasts on bridge arms if Snell exits early |
| Teoscar HR | +450 | Yesavage shaky 2nd time through, former team hype |
Blue Jays at Dodgers Game 1: The Best Bets
1) Blue Jays +1.5 (-125)
Edge in one line:
Books are inflating LA’s dominance. Toronto’s got the crowd, bullpen leverage, and legit late-inning juice—this run line is undervalued.
Full Rationale:
Blake Snell is dominant, but he’s not pitching a complete game. He’ll give you five or six elite innings, then hand it over to a Dodgers bullpen that’s missing Alex Vesia and running thin on quality arms to trust. That’s a real problem when you’re facing Vladimir Guerrero Jr., George Springer, and Ernie Clement in high-leverage spots late.
The Jays’ offense is red hot right now, including Vlad (6 HR in the playoffs) and a contact-driven approach that stacks rallies when they get momentum. They’ve shown all postseason they can scratch across runs in the sixth through ninth innings, and Rogers Centre will be absolutely deafening in those moments. This is Toronto’s first home World Series game in 32 years—the emotional surge is real, and the crowd will carry them in tight spots.
The +1.5 also covers the variance we expect in this game. Trey Yesavage is making his first World Series start, and while the Dodgers have never seen him before (small edge early), he’s shown shakiness the second time through the order. If LA jumps ahead early, the Jays still have the lineup depth and home-field advantage to claw back and keep it within a run. One-run loss equity is absolutely live here, and you’re getting paid to fade the inflated Dodgers line.
This is the cleanest way to monetize Snell’s walk volatility, both bullpens’ late-game shakiness, and Toronto’s ability to survive and push this game deep. At -125, you’re getting value on a scrappy team with real paths to cover.
For more postseason props and updated moneylines on Game 1, check out the MLB section in the BetOnline Sportsbook where all World Series markets are live.
2) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Edge in one line:
Vlad’s hitting .442 with a .930 SLG in the postseason—if Snell exits early, he feasts on LA’s bridge arms and has the moment to shine.
Full Rationale:
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the engine of this Blue Jays offense, and he’s been absolutely locked in all postseason. A .442 average with a .930 slugging percentage isn’t just hot—it’s historic. He’s mashing everything, and he matches up well against the Dodgers’ bullpen arms, who will likely see him in the middle-to-late innings.
If Snell exits after five or six innings, Vlad gets cracks at LA’s bridge guys—arms that don’t have Snell’s command or swing-and-miss stuff. That’s where he does his damage. This is also Vlad’s moment to shine on the biggest stage, and he’s shown zero signs of slowing down. Two total bases can come via a double, a homer, or two singles. Given his current form and the matchup, clearing this number feels more likely than not.
3) Teoscar Hernández Home Run (+450)
Edge in one line:
Red-hot (4 HR in playoffs), facing a right-hander with command issues the second time through, and it’s a revenge game against his former team.
Full Rationale:
Teoscar Hernández is locked in. Four home runs in the playoffs, and he’s seeing the ball as well as anyone in the Dodgers’ lineup right now. He’s facing Trey Yesavage, a right-handed pitcher with some command issues and nerves to worry about in Game 1.
Add in the revenge game narrative—Hernández spent years in Toronto and will be amped up to do damage in front of his former fanbase—and you’ve got all the ingredients for a big fly. At +450, this is a clean lottery ticket on a hot hitter in a matchup that plays to his strengths. It’s a sprinkle bet that I might make in every game this series.
The Bottom Line: Inflated Dodgers Number and Ride Toronto’s Home Momentum
The Dodgers are the better team on paper, no question. But this line overstates the gap. Toronto has the deeper lineup right now, more scoring options, and the crowd will be a legitimate weapon in the late innings. Snell is elite, but he’s not going nine, and the Dodgers’ bullpen without Vesia opens the door for late-game chaos. The Jays have proven all postseason they can scratch, claw, and rally when the moment demands it, and Friday night at Rogers Centre will be one of those moments.
