NFL Top 10 Offenses Include Chiefs-Bills Showcase And 2025 Super Bowl Odds

Oct, 31

Summary

The Week 9 NFL matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills is the most watched and wagered game. This high-profile AFC clash features two of the league’s top offenses and MVP-favorite quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. Despite trailing in their respective divisions, both teams are among the favorites to win Super Bowl LX. A Chiefs loss could potentially drop them from the playoff picture.

Statistical trends strongly suggest a high-scoring game, as their recent matchups have averaged 54.7 points. Key factors supporting this include the Bills coming off a 40-point road game and a historical tendency for overs in games between strong AFC teams. With both teams possessing potent offenses, another offensive showcase is anticipated for this November showdown.

Chiefs-Bills Week 9 Matchup Most Watched And Wagered Game

The 2025 NFL season continues into November and near the halfway point of the regular season. Week 9 features a marquee AFC matchup with Kansas City (5-3) a slight favorite at Buffalo (5-2) as preseason AFC favorites collide in another potential playoff preview and projected high-scoring shootout. The Bills (29.6) and Chiefs (26.8) are among the top scoring teams in the league, but still behind league leader Indianapolis (33.8 ppg), and the Colts are an NFL-best 7-1 this season.

The Chiefs and Bills trail in their respective divisions with New England (6-2) a surprise leader in the AFC East. Both Denver (6-2) and Los Angeles (5-3) are challenging on top of the AFC West with the Chargers 3-0 in divisional play. The AFC North is surprisingly down based on preseason expectations and win totals. Pittsburgh (4-3) leads the division, but Baltimore (3-5) was the favorite to win the AFC North at BetOnline before downing the Dolphins 28-6 to kickoff Week 9 action Thursday night.

The defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles (6-2) have the biggest division lead in the NFL ahead of Dallas (3-4-1) in the NFC East. Green Bay (5-1-1) and Detroit (5-2) top the NFC North as projected with Chicago (4-3) playing teams with losing records over the next three games and joining San Francisco (5-3) as the only teams in the NFC with winning records and a negative points differential (along with AFC Jacksonville, 4-3). Seattle (5-2) and the Los Angeles

Rams (5-2) lead the 49ers in the NFC West while Tampa Bay (6-2) is the clear leader in the NFC South ahead of Carolina (4-4).

Top Offenses

The NFC only has one of the top-5 yards per game offenses into Week 9 with Dallas (384) just behind league-leader Indianapolis (385). Perhaps it’s no surprise that with more offense and the highest scoring week of the season in Week 8 (49.8 points per game), the top 10 yards per game offenses are all among the favorites to make the playoffs and top odds to win the Super Bowl.

Yards Per Game And Scoring Offenses

385: Colts (33.8)
384: Cowboys (30.8)
383: Bills (29.6)
378: Chiefs (26.8)
378: Chargers (23.5)
360: Packers (27.6)
360: Rams (25.0)
357: Lions (30.7)
357: Broncos (25.9)
353: Patriots (26.6)
351: Seahawks (27.6)

The Seahawks get mention as No. 11 in yards per play offense, but top-5 in scoring offense and yards per play offense (6.0) along with the Colts (6.5), Bills (6.1), Cowboys (6.0), Packers (5.9), Lions (5.9), Rams (5.9), Patriots (5.8), Chiefs (5.8) and Chargers (5.8).

Defensive Leaders

While the Broncos (4.6, No. 1), Chargers (5.2) and Chiefs (5.3) rank in the top half of the league in yards per play defense, the Bills (5.4), Patriots (5.4) and AFC-best Colts (5.4) are average to slightly below in yards per play defense. The Chiefs and Broncos are both top 5 in yards per play defense near 280 per game behind the Texans (267), Falcons (275) and Browns (277). The Packers (289), Chargers (297), Lions (300), Patriots (300) and Seahawks (306) round out the top 10 yards per play defenses with many of those teams complimenting their top 10 offenses.

Super Bowl Odds

So as you evaluate the teams schedules the second half of the 2025 season and monitor key injuries, weekly odds and futures adjustments, here are the Super Bowl LX odds into November with many of the top offensive teams among the favorites.

+350: Chiefs
+750: Bills, Lions, Packers
+1000: Rams, Eagles
+1100: Colts
+1600: Ravens
+2200: Broncos
+2500: Chargers, Seahawks
+2800: Patriots

Chiefs-Bills Matchup

The Chiefs-Bills Week 9 matchup in Buffalo is the top watch and wager game of the week. Along with sporting top offenses and MVP favorite quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes (+145) and Josh Allen (+385), the Chiefs and Bills are the Super Bowl favorites and still division favorites despite not being in first place. If fact, a loss by the Chiefs against the Bills would drop the hottest team in the league out of the playoff picture. Kansas City is on a 5-1 SU/ATS run winning the yardage stats in all six contests while averaging 415 yards and 31 points per game over their last five games.

The Bills are 3-0 SU/ATS in the role of home underdog most recently, and the Bills have beaten the Chiefs in the last four regular season games while Kansas City has beaten Buffalo in the four playoff matchups. Neither team has been favored by more than a field goal in any of the games since 2021. The Bills are without two key defenders from the front seven for this Week 9 showdown.

Another high-scoring shootout seems likely with these two teams averaging 54.7 points per game in three matchups the past two years. More Playbook Totals Tipsheet tips and trends pointing to additional scoring shows that home teams that scored 40 or more points last game (Bills) on the road are 16-2 over/under since 2020 when the game total is 54 or less. Also, in the last two years all home underdogs of 7 or less points who were road favorites last game are 12-1 over/under. Already this season, non-division games between winning teams .600 or better are 9-1 over/under. Finally, all AFC games with an over/under total of greater than 50 points are 9-1 over/under the last two years.

The Chiefs and Bills with their All-Pro and MVP quarterbacks are set to put on another offensive show Sunday to kick off NFL November action.

You can bet on it.

Fairway Jay Fairway Jay is a leading sports betting industry analyst, handicapper, content creator, writer and reporter. He's also a credentialed media member covering sports, poker and industry events while providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. Follow him on X @FairwayJay.