8 Super Bowl LX Player Props To Target For Sunday

Super Bowl prop bets are easily becoming more popular than the game itself.  From casual bettors to the pros, everyone is looking for some action in the Big Game. Super Bowl 60 is so different, as there are hundreds of wagers you can lay your cash down on. We’ve analyzed the odds, and we’ve come up with our top picks for player props.

Will There Be Safety? No -1300

This is a wager where the recreation bettor wants to bet a small amount to win a big one. That’s why this prop bet is actually quite attractive. BetOnline has No at -1300 while Yes is at +800.  For the public, getting +800 is worth a shot; bet $10 to win $80.  But let’s dive deeper into this market.  There have been 59 Super Bowls in the past, and there have only been nine safeties, with the last one coming more than a decade ago.  That happened in Super Bowl 48 when the very first play of the game, a snap over Peyton Manning’s head, led to a safety as the Seahawks went up 2-0 just 12 seconds into the game. Seattle went on to a 43-8 blowout win.

BEST BET:  NO -1300

Jaxon Smith-Njigba  – Over 93.5 receiving yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the main receiving weapon for the Seahawks and is the heavy favorite to have the most receiving yards in the game. JSN finished the regular season averaging over 85 yards per game while facing defensive attention designed to limit his production.  The Patriots struggled against route runners, and that gives the NFL’s leading receiver the edge. He had 14 games this season where he racked up at least 92 yards, and while this total is slightly above, JSN has shown he can gain yardage in big chunks.   It wouldn’t be a shock to see him get half of this total on just one reception. BEST BET:  OVER 93.5 Receiving Yards

Sam Darnold OVER 2.5 rushing attempts (+105)

The more Sam Darnold rolls out, the likelihood of him taking a few free yards is that much higher.  The Seahawks QB was running the ball much more in the second half of the season, as 25 of his 38 attempts came in the past ten games.  And when you remove kneel downs, 76% of his rushes have come in the latter half of the season.  With Seattle a 4.5 favorite, the game script suggests we could see a couple of kneel downs to end the game, assuming the Hawks are up late, and gain possession to ice the game.  Taking that into consideration, Darnold likely needs just one or two rushes in the game for this prop to hit.  BEST BET:  OVER 2.5 Rushing Attempts

Sam Darnold – Over 228.5 Passing Yards

Sam Darnold has gone over this total 11 times this season, including throwing for 346 yards vs the Rams in the NFC Championship Game. Since we’ve taken the over with JSN, it only makes sense to add Darnold’s passing total to the list. The Seahawks QB averaged 240 passing yards per game in the regular season with an offense that tried to control the ball on the ground.  The Patriots’ defense forces opposing quarterbacks to make quick decisions, but Darnold has shown he can check down and find his second and third options if needed. The Patriots ranked among the league’s better run defenses throughout the postseason, so this could open the passing game for Seattle.  If Darnold is required to throw upwards of 30 passes, this total easily hits on Sunday.  BEST BET: OVER 228.5 Passing Yards

TreVeyon Henderson – UNDER 2.5 Receiving Yards

This line opened around 3-4 yards, but the sharps zoned in on this number rather quickly.  

The rookie back had a pretty good season, but has seen his playing time diminish as Rhamondre Stevenson became the premier back in the latter half and the postseason.  Henderson is still used but didn’t play much in the AFC title game, three carries for five yards and no receptions.  In fact, in this postseason, Henderson has just two receptions, one of which went for nine yards, while the other went for minus two yards.  This number suggests Henderson won’t be part of the passing game in the limited minutes he could see.  BEST BET:  Henderson UNDER 2.5 Receiving Yards

Drake Maye – Under 37.5 rushing Yards

Drake Maye has taken things into his own legs in the postseason, running for 66 yards vs the Chargers and 65 yards vs the Broncos.  But this number seems to be greatly inflated because of those performances, and here’s why.  Maye was able to scramble well in the playoffs, but Seattle’s front is one of the best units at containing quarterbacks.  If you go further back, Maye has only gone over this number just seven times this season.  And in those games, the opposing scheme against the quarterback wasn’t as polished as what Maye will face on Sunday. This line feels like it is too high and is a trap, considering his output in the playoffs.  BEST BET:  UNDER 37.5 Rush Yards 

Player To Score The First Touchdown

This is one of the most popular prop bets for Super Bowl 60, and we’re going to provide a player on each team that offers really good value, rather than sticking with the favorites.  

AJ Barner +1400

AJ Barner emerged as a reliable target for Seattle and scored six touchdowns this season.  With Kenneth Walker and JSN the likely first options for the Seahawks in the red zone, Barner offers great value as he’s just as effective inside the twenty.  When the Seahawks are driving, double coverage on JSN will be a must, which could free up Barner. And at this price, he’s worth the gamble.

Drake Maye +1800

Maye has had five rushing touchdowns this season, including one in the AFC Championship Game.  The Pats QB has shown his ability to tuck the ball and run when he doesn’t have any options open.  We’re not expecting a 20-30 yard run from him, but anything inside the five-yard line, Maye could try to take it in himself if that Seahawks front line is boxed up. Over the past few years, we’ve seen Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes score the first TD of the game. Could it happen again at Super Bowl 60?