College Basketball Top 25 Odds And 30 Key Games To Finish February And March
Summary
The men’s college basketball season is heading towards the postseason, with top teams from major conferences like the Big Ten, SEC, Big 12, Big East, and ACC jockeying for position. A key indicator for the eventual national champion is a team’s ranking in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, a profile held by 8-12 teams in the current AP Top 25.
The rankings feature Arizona, Michigan, Houston, and Duke among the leaders, with their national title odds and efficiency metrics listed. The closing weeks of the season will be decisive, with a packed schedule of key matchups that will determine conference champions and NCAA Tournament seeding. These include high-profile games like Kansas at Iowa State, Duke at Michigan, and the regular-season finale between North Carolina and Duke.
The men’s college basketball season continues with a push towards the postseason for the top teams. That includes the most-watched and wagered teams in the AP Top 25 and leadingÂ
conferences across the Big Ten and SEC, plus the Big 12, Big East and ACC.Â
The AP Top 25 features many of the leading national title contenders with 8-12 teams that currently fit proven profiles in adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. Those stats and teams that rank top 20 in both offensive and defensive categories have determined the NCAA Tournament champion in 22 of the last 23 years.
College Basketball AP Top 25
Here are the AP Top 25 rankings for Week 14, effective Feb. 9, with adjustments ahead in the next release Feb. 16. Records are as of Friday, Feb. 13, along with current odds to win the NCAA Tournament/National Title, along with Final Four odds.
Also included are KenPom’s current adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency rankings. Note No. 1: Arizona lost its first game of the season at Kansas on Feb. 9, and the Wildcats have been ranked No. 1 for nine straight weeks, including a unanimous selection for four straight weeks.Â
| Team | Record | Conference / Record | NCAA Title Odds/Final Four | KenPom Adj Offense/Defense |
| 1 Arizona | 23-1 | Big 12: 10-1 | +500 / -110 | 8 / 2 |
| 2 Michigan | 23-1 | Big Ten: 13-1 | +475 / -110 | 5 / 1 |
| 3 Houston | 22-2 | Big 12: 10-1 | +850 / +185 | 7 / 7 |
| 4 Duke | 22-2 | ACC: 11-1 | +700 / +130 | 9 / 3 |
| 5 Iowa State | 21-3 | Big 12: 8-3 | +1800 / +400 | 17 / 6 |
| 6 UCONN | 23-2 | Big East: 13-1 | +1400 / +375 | 20 / 8 |
| 7 Nebraska | 21-3 | Big Ten: 10-3 | +4000 / +750 | 36 / 11 |
| 8 Illinois | 20-5 | Big Ten: 11-3 | +1400 / +300 | 1 / 30 |
| 9 Kansas | 19-5 | Big 12: 9-2 | +1500 / +300 | 40 / 9 |
| 10 Michigan State | 20-4 | Big Ten: 10-3 | +3300 / +950 | 43 / 4 |
| 11 North Carolina | 19-5 | ACC: 7-4 | +4000 / +950 | 24 / 46 |
| 12 Gonzaga | 24-2 | West Coast: 12-1 | +4000 / +900 | 25 / 12 |
| 13 Purdue | 20-4 | Big Ten: 10-3 | +2500 / +500 | 3 / 22 |
| 14 Florida | 18-6 | SEC: 9-2 | +1200 / +300 | 14 / 5 |
| 15 Virginia | 21-3 | ACC: 10-2 | +7500 / +1400 | 30 / 17 |
| 16 Texas Tech | 18-6 | Big 12: 8-3 | +3300 / +700 | 16 / 26 |
| 17 St. John’s | 19-5 | Big East: 12-1 | +5000 / +900 | 31 / 18 |
| 18 St. Louis | 23-1 | A-10: 11-0 | +10000 / +2500 | 37 / 24 |
| 19 Vanderbilt | 20-4 | SEC: 7-4 | +6600 / +!400 | 13 / 21 |
| 20 Clemson | 20-5 | ACC: 10-2 | +15000 / +5000 | 71 / 16 |
| 21 Arkansas | 18-6 | SEC: 8-3 | +5000 / +950 | 6 / 43 |
| 22 BYU | 18-6 | Big 12: 6-5 | +6600 / +1400 | 4 / 55 |
| 23 Miami Ohio | 24-0 | MAC: 11-0 | +50000 / +8000 | 62 / 150 |
| 24 Louisville | 18-6 | ACC: 8-4 | +5000 / +1400 | 12 / 27 |
| 25 Kentucky | 17-7 | SEC: 8-3 | +8000 / +2000 | 39 / 32 |
Also receiving votes: Alabama 72, Iowa 69, NC State 31, Tennessee 26, Villanova 17, Utah St. 15, Georgia 6, Santa Clara 2, Auburn 2, Saint Mary’s 1.
Tennessee and Alabama are both 17-7 and 7-4 in SEC play. Iowa is 18-6 and 8-5 in the Big Ten. NC State is 18-7 and 9-3 in ACC. Villanova is 19-5 and 10-3 in the Big East. Utah State leads the Mountain West at 12-2 and 21-3 overall. St. Mary’s is 22-4 and 11-2 in the West Coast Conference but trails Santa Clara (13-1) ahead of Gonzaga (12-1).Â
Top 30 Games and Other Key Contests
Here are the top 30 games and other key contests in the closing weeks that will determine college basketball conference champions and positioning for seeds in the NCAA Tournament.
- Sat., Feb. 14: Kansas at Iowa State, Texas Tech at Arizona, Duke at Clemson, Kentucky at FloridaÂ
- Mon., Feb. 16: Houston at Iowa StateÂ
- Tues., Feb. 17: Michigan at Purdue, North Carolina at NC StateÂ
- Fri., Feb. 20: Indiana at PurdueÂ
- Sat., Feb. 21: Duke at Michigan, Arizona at Houston, UCONN at Villanova, Tennessee at VanderbiltÂ
- Sun., Feb. 22: Iowa at WisconsinÂ
- Mon., Feb. 23: Houston at KansasÂ
- Wed., Feb. 25: St. John’s at UCONNÂ
- Thurs, Feb. 26: Michigan State at PurdueÂ
- Fri., Feb. 27: Michigan at IllinoisÂ
- Sat., Feb. 28: Kansas at Arizona, Virginia at Duke, Villanova at St. John’s, Vanderbilt at Kentucky, Alabama at Tennessee, Arkansas at Florida, Texas Tech at Iowa State, Gonzaga at St. Mary’sÂ
- Mon., March 2: Iowa State at ArizonaÂ
- Sat., March 7: North Carolina at Duke, Florida at Kentucky, Wisconsin at PurdueÂ
- Sun., March 8: Michigan State at Michigan
Other key games
- Sat., Feb. 14: Purdue at Iowa, Texas A&M at Vanderbilt, Villanova at Creighton, Gonzaga at Santa Clara, Yale at Harvard, Nevada at San Diego State, North Dakota State at North Dakota
- Feb. 15: Indiana at Illinois, Miami at NC State, Belmont at Murray State
- Feb. 17: Nebraska at Iowa, Arkansas at Alabama, Virginia Tech at Miami
- Feb. 18: BYU at Arizona, Illinois at USC, Vanderbilt at Missouri, Creighton at Connecticut
- Feb. 19: Marshall at Appalachian State, California Baptist at Utah Valley
- Feb. 20: Indiana at Purdue, VCU at St. Louis, Green Bay at Oakland
- Sat. Feb. 21: Kentucky at Auburn, Missouri at Arkansas, Texas at Georgia, Creighton at St. John’s, Iowa State at BYU, Louisville at North Carolina, Miami at Virginia, Winthrop at High Point, UC Santa Barbara at Hawaii, Utah State at Nevada, SIU Edwardsville at Tennessee State, Troy at South AlabamaÂ
- Feb. 24: USC at UCLA, Tennessee at Missouri, UCF at BYU, NC State at VirginiaÂ
- Feb. 25: Florida at Texas, Utah State at San Diego State, Santa Clara at St. Mary’s
- Feb. 26: Texas A&M at Arkansas, North Dakota State at St. Thomas
- Feb. 27: Akron at Kent
- Sat., Feb. 28: BYU at West Virginia, Louisville at Clemson, Virginia Tech at North Carolina, UC Santa Barbara at UC Irvine, San Diego State at New Mexico, Tennessee State at Tennessee Martin, Colgate at Navy
- March 1: Michigan State at Indiana, Seton Hall at UCONN
- March 2: Duke at NC State
- March 3: Clemson at North Carolina, Kentucky at Texas A&M, Alabama at Georgia, George Mason at VCU
- March 4: Texas at Arkansas
- March 5: Michigan at Iowa
- March 6: St. John’s at Seton Hall, UCF at West Virginia
- Sat., March 7: UCLA at USC, Auburn at Alabama, Arkansas at Missouri, Texas Tech at BYU, Virginia Tech at Virginia, Louisville at Miami, St. Louis at George Mason, New Mexico at Utah StateÂ
- Sun, March 8: Iowa at Nebraska, Temple at Tulsa
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