Sony Open Golf Odds And 2026 PGA Picks And Props

Jan, 14

Summary

The 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii begins this week at Waialae Country Club, where 120 golfers will compete for a $9.1 million purse. The 7,044-yard, par-70 course, with its tight layout, neutralizes power hitters and emphasizes accuracy and strong putting on its large Bermuda greens. Favorites include Russell Henley, J.J. Spaun, and Hideki Matsuyama, with betting odds and featured tournament matchups provided.

Key contenders are highlighted based on course history and current form, with players like Corey Conners, Harry Hall, and Brian Harman noted for their suitability to the venue. Recent winners include Nick Taylor and Grayson Murray. Forecasted rain and wind could create softer, more challenging conditions for the event.

The 2026 PGA TOUR season makes its much-anticipated return this week. A field of 120 golfers will tee it up and compete at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii shooting for the top prize of 1.6 million from a purse of 9.1 million. Golf betting odds, matchups, picks and information you can bet on are provided.

The 7,044 yard par 70 course features persistent doglegs and tight tree lines, neutralizing any big hitters advantage.

Odds to Win 2026 Sony Open

Golf odds from BetOnline refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Odds adjust during and following rounds. Favorites and leading contenders odds to win listed. Additional players golf odds, props and tournament matchups are available.

+1100: Russell Henley
+1600: J.J. Spaun
+1900: Hideki Matsuyama
+2000: Collin Morikawa
+2200: Ben Griffin
+2500: Si Woo Kim, Robert MacIntire
+2600: Corey Conners
+3000: Keegan Bradley
+3500: Harry Hall
+4000: Maverick McNealy, Nick Taylor, Aaron Rai
+4500: Nico Echavarria
+5000: Chris Kirk
+5500: Jordan Spieth, Brian Harman, Rico Hoey
+6000: Kurt Kitayama, Denny McCarthy, Ryan Gerard, Matt McCarty
+6500: Adam Scott, Eric Cole
+7000: Keith Mitchell, Chris Gotterup, Taylor Pendrith, Daniel Berger

72-hole winning score: Over/Under 261.5 (Par 70)

Tournament Matchups

BetOnline offers an extensive range of 72-hole tournament matchups each week. Here are some of the notable matchups and players to watch at the Sony Open in Hawaii. Odds listed are moneyline (- is favorite, + is underdog), and BetOnline also offers

Henley (-153) vs. Griffin (+127)
Spaun (-121) vs Morikawa (+101)
Matsuyama (-115) vs McIntyre (-105)
Si Woo Kim (-132) vs Bradley (+110)
McCarthy (-129) vs Echavarria (+108)
Taylor (-137) vs Kitayama (+114)
Harman (-115) vs Scott (-105)
Pendrith (-147) vs Cole (+122)
McNealy (-122) vs Hall (+102)
Conners (-138) vs Rai (+115)
Kirk (-127) vs Spieth (+106)
Gerard (-139) vs Horchel (+116)
McCarty (-120) vs Meissner (+100)
Hoey (-132) vs Gotterup (+110)
Simpson (-147) vs Finau (+122)

Featured Groups
Thursday (All times Eastern)

2:43 p.m.: J.J. Spaun, Collin Morikawa, Adam Scott (10th tee)
1:05 p.m.: Robert MacIntyre, Nick Taylor, Aaron Rai (10th tee)
5:13 p.m.: Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth, Keegan Bradley (first tee)
5:35 p.m.: Brian Harman, Maverick McNealy, Si Woo Kim (first tee)

Friday

12:43 p.m.: Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth, Keegan Bradley (10th tee)
12:54 p.m.: Michael Brennan, Tony Finau, Johnny Keefer (10th tee)
5:13 p.m.: J.J. Spaun, Collin Morikawa, Adam Scott (first tee)
5:24 p.m.: Ben Griffin, Russell Henley, Chris Gotterup (first tee)

Featured hole: No. 16 (par 4)

Recent Winners and Course Difficulty

Canadian Nick Taylor (-16) won last year’s Sony Open in a playoff over Nico Echavarria. They finished 72-holes 1-stroke in front of J.J. Spaun and Stephan Jaeger with other notable top 10 finishers Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley, Eric Cole and Harry Hall.

Grayson Murray won in a 3-way playoff in 2024 over B.H. Ann and Keegan Bradley. Other top-10 finishers included Russell Henley, Nick Taylor, Emiliano Grillo and Taylor Pendrith.

Si Woo Kim (-18) won in 2023 and Hideki Matsuyama (-23) won in 2022.

For the 2026 tournament, softer conditions are expected on fairways and greens with rain in the forecast Wednesday into early Thursday and up to 20 mph winds across all four days of the tournament.

Course Scoring Average + PGA Tour Difficulty Rank:

2025: 68.73 (-1.27), Rank 32 of 50 courses
2024: 68.82 (-1.18), Rank 27 of 51 courses
2023: 68.87 (-1.13), Rank 34 of 49 courses
2022: 68.00 (-2.00), Rank 41 of 50 courses
2021: 67.98 (-2.02), Rank 45 of 51 courses

How To Understand Golf Betting Statistics And Strokes Gained

Heading into last year’s tournament, winners of the Sony Open had gained more than 40% of their strokes putting – among the top-5 highest rates of any PGA Tour course over the last 10 years. Waialae CC features much larger than average Bermuda greens.

Consistent contenders will excel in Approach play from 125-200 yards and these additional strokes gained (SG) and statistical categories.

Driving Accuracy / SG: OTT (<7,200 Yard Courses)
Greens In Regulation Gained
Birdies or Better Gained
Par-4 Scoring: 400-500
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting (Bermuda)

Sony Open Picks And Trends

According to Data Golf, Waialae CC is second to only Augusta National in terms of predictive course history.
19 of the past 20 champions had played the Sony Open prior to lifting the trophy.
Over the last five years, 11 players recorded multiple top-15 finishes at the Sony Open. That list includes winners Nick Taylor and Hideki Matsuyama plus Corey Conners, J.J. Spaun, Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley, Eric Cole, Nico Echavarria, Chris Kirk, Keith Mitchell and Patton Kizzire.

Players to target in outright win market and top 10 or 20 finish

Corey Conners (+2600 and +300 top 10)
Harry Hall (+3500 and +450 top 10)
Nico Echavarria (+4500 and +500 top 10)
Brian Harman (+5500 and +500 top 10)
Haotong Li (+9000 and +900 top 10)
Austin Eckroat (+15000 and +1000 top 10)
Keita Nakajima (+15000 and +1200 top 10)

Russell Henley is the favorite to win the 2026 Sony Open. He’s the one player of the last 20 who won on his rookie season in 2013. Henley has since finished top-11 in four of the past five years at the Sony Open in Hawaii.

Canadian Corey Conners is accurate from the tee, solid iron player and has shown strength at Waialae with four top 12 finishes in seven starts.

Englishman Harry Hall has great hands and skills with a solid short game, ball striking, around the green and putting strength. He turned up his game further after finishing T10 at the Sony Open last year.

Columbian Nico Echavarria had a breakout year in 2025 that included a runner-up finish in the Sony Open after losing in a playoff to Canadian Nick Taylor.

Brian Harman is a British Open major champion who excels on shorter courses and plays well in the wind. He ranks among the leaders in this field on par 70 courses, and finished 4th in 2018 after leading through 36 holes, a pair of top 25’s the last two years and six straight made cuts at the Sony Open. Harman has been playing through the late fall and end of 2025, and has an edge in playing with his iron play in good form.

Longshot Austin Eckroat did not meet expectations last season, but he’s among the most accurate off the tee (top 30 in 2025) and fired a 63 in the November RMS Classic on a similar shorter coastal course with bermuda greens. Eckroat finished 12th at the Sony Open on debut in 2023, and he led halfway through 36 holes in 2024 before falling back to finish outside the top 30.

A rookie to watch this year on the PGA Tour is Keita Nakajima. He arrives from the DP World Tour, and finished 2nd playing alongside winner Tommy Fleetwood in Delhi last October on a similar tight course. Nakajimi is accurate and was 5th here through 36 holes four years ago as an amateur, and played well in his second visit to Waialae.

Another longshot to watch is Haotong Li (+9000), who can be played in additional top 20, 30 or top 40 markets with other big longshots of interest. Li had 9 top 20’s on the DP World Tour last year and the Chinese star is supremely consistent with his irons, an exceptional putter and can play well in the wind. He finished top 5 in the Open Championship last year against a much stronger field.

Golf Betting Popularity and Major Championships

Golf continues to be one of the most popular sports to bet on. Beyond watching and wagering on the outright player to win a golf tournament, betting on golf provides other popular specific betting markets, especially during the four Major Championships and big Signature Events. Betting on a player’s finishing position (top 5, 10, 20), make or miss the cut, head-to-head tournament matchups, round leader and matchup markets and other prop bets allow bettors a golf bag full of options when wagering on golf. Bettors who strategize and are able to combine course fit with data-driven insights can more consistently outperform the market. A key strategy is to understand how each tournament or major championship tests different aspects of golf and match those demands with player skill sets.

The PGA Tour and leading online sportsbook BetOnline supports responsible gambling, and encourages people to bet responsibly and sensibly and seek help with any addictions or problem gambling.

Bet on the Action

BetOnline provides numerous opportunities for fans to wager on their favorite players, whether you’re betting on individual matchups, round-by-round action, or live/in-game betting to stay more engaged and entertained. Get in on the action and place your bets today, and follow more PGA betting news throughout the 2026 season including Signature Events and Majors.

You can bet on it.

Fairway Jay Fairway Jay is a leading sports betting industry analyst, handicapper, content creator, writer and reporter. He's also a credentialed media member covering sports, poker and industry events while providing insight and information you can bet on for nearly two decades from Las Vegas. Follow him on X @FairwayJay.