2026 MLB Player Prop Odds for Home Runs, RBIs, Stolen Bases

Since COVID-19, only one favorite has led the Majors in home runs and once again, Aaron Rodgers is at the top of the betting board in 2026. Last year, Cal Raleigh was +10000 pre-season before smacking 60 dingers for the crown.  Are there long-shot contenders this season?  Let’s take a look at some of the contenders.

Contenders For Most Home Runs

Aaron Judge, Yankees +350

Aaron Judge has won the home run title in 2024 when he smacked 62 and in 2022 after launching 58 dingers.  Last season he was less than 3/1 preseason but would finish fourth with 53 homers.  He’s averaged 50 HRs in the last five seasons, and should reach that mark again.

Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers +400

Shohei Ohtani hit 55 home runs last season and has been near the top of the betting board for the last few seasons.  He’s averaged 46.6 HR’s in the last five seasons and has 54 and 55 smackers since moving to the Dodgers.  

Kyle Schwarber, Dodgers +800

Kyle Schwarber has averaged nearly 47 home runs in the last four years and now joins the powerhouse Dodgers.  He finished with 56 last season and offers better odds than the two favorites.  Schwarber has a chance to reach 60, but could signing a big contract mean a down year?  

Longshot Pick

Munetaka Murakami, White Sox +10000

Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 31 home runs this season but he could have an even bigger first year.  The 25-year old smacked 246 homers in eight seasons with the Tokyo Yakult Swallows including 56 homers in 2022.  His raw power could catch teams off guard and remember, Cal Raleigh was also +10000 last season before winning the title.

Odds For Most Home Runs in 2026

Aaron Judge +350 Shohei Ohtani +400

Kyle Schwarber +800 Nick Kurtz +900

Cal Raleigh +1000 Juan Soto +1400

Contenders For Most RBIs in 2026

Last season, Phillies Kyle Schwarber led MLB with 132 runs batted in.   His preseason odds had him at +5000.  Prior to that, Aaron Judge has taken this title twice (shared in 2022) and is once again the favorite.  But you know there are others who will be nipping at his heels.

Aaron Judge, Yankees +450

Aaron Judge has had four 100+ RBI seasons including in 2024 with 144 that led the Majors.  With his power and ability to cash in runs, he should contend again.  But his odds are quite low for a bit of a wide open race. We’ll look elsewhere.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays +900

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has never registered more than 111 RBI in his career and is coming off a down season with just 84 RBIs.  Can the motivation of losing in Game 7 drive Vladdy in 2026?  He has the power and has averaged 179 hits in the last five seasons.

Longshot Pick 

Nick Kurtz, Athletics: +4000 

Nick Kurtz was the AL Rookie of the Year in 2025 with 36 home runs, 86 RBIs, and 90 runs in 117 games. With him a mainstay in the lineup, he will be the driving force for the Athletics offensively.  He has the chance to challenge in several markets this season including RBIs.  His projections call for 95 RBIs in 153 games, but this price is just too good to pass up on one of the rising stars in MLB.

Odds for Most RBIs in 2026

Aaron Judge +450 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +900

Pete Alonso +900 Shohei Ohtani +1000

Junior Caminero +1400 Freddie Freeman +1400

Contenders For Most Stolen Bases in 2026

Elly De La Cruz, Reds +275

Elly De La Cruz made a big splash in 2024 when he stole 67 bases.  He was the huge favorite going into 2025 but his production fell; 37 stolen bases in 162 games, seventh in MLB.  De La Cruz still has all the tools to reach 60+ in 2026 but at this preseason price, it may be best to look elsewhere for value.

Chandler Simpson, Rays +400

Chandler Simpson may be the fastest player in baseball and if you pro-rate his steals in 2025 to 162 games, he would have reached 60 stolen bases.  Defensively, he’s not ranked high which could limit his games.  But if Tampa Bay gives him a regular spot, Simpson will be among the league leaders.

Jose Caballero, Yankees +1200

Jose Caballero offers good value in 2026.  In the last two seasons, he’s averaged 2.8 at-bats per game and has 74 stolen bases.  Caballero likely starts for the Yankees until Anthony Volpe returns from injury.  Even then, he could be used in many scenarios that would enable him to steal bases.   Last season he stole 22 of his 49 SB in the first couple of months of the season, so another hot start, could have him as a real threat

Longshot Pick

Jose Ramirez, Guardians +1400

Usually when you are 33, the speed slows down and the legs get heavier.  But that isn’t the case with José Ramírez who continues to get better with age.  He’s posted 40+ steals in back-to-back seasons and should make it three in a row.  He’s an everyday player who can pile up the steals and if you find the right price, he is worth a shot.

Odds for Most Stolen Bases in 2026

Elly De La Cruz +275 Chandler Simpson +400

Bobby Witt Jr. +650 Corbin Carroll +1000

Jakob Marsee +1000 Jose Caballero +1200