CRAZY NFL PARLAY: WEEK 7
Summary
Adam Greene presents his weekly “Crazy NFL Parlay,” a carefully selected series of moneyline and point total bets designed to yield a massive financial return from a small wager. He emphasizes that his picks are based on realistic possibilities and analysis of team matchups, not random chance.
His selections include betting on low-scoring games for the Rams vs. Jaguars, Dolphins at Browns, and Panthers at Jets contests. He also favors several underdogs to win outright: the Colts, Vikings, Giants, Falcons, Buccaneers, and Texans. Greene provides reasoning for each, such as the Eagles’ offensive struggles making the Vikings a good pick. A $10 bet on this nine-part parlay would pay out over $20,000 if all selections are correct.
By Adam Greene
It’s the best time of the week, my friends. The moment where I take the odds handed down to us from the books above and turn the price of a Venti Mocha Frappuccino at Starbucks into a gently pre-owned Honda HR-V.
If this is your first Crazy NFL Parlay, here’s how it works. I take a long, hard look at the week’s NFL spreads, moneylines and totals and use those numbers to craft the perfect parlay of possible events to deliver the maximum financial return. This isn’t pin the tail on the plus moneyline and hoping for the best. Oh no. Perish that thought. I said perish it!
This is science. I’m picking actual possibilities. A series of events that can realistically happen. And if they do happen, why shouldn’t we cash in a big fat lottery ticket in the process? Entropy is the natural state of the universe. Let’s make some money with it.
With that in mind, here is what I have picked out for you this week;
Rams vs Jaguars under 44.5 (-110)
Dolphins at Browns under 36 (-100)
Indianapolis Colts +114
Minnesota Vikings +110
Panthers at Jets under 41.5 (-110)
New York Giants +289
Atlanta Falcons +115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +222
Houston Texans +145
If you’ve checked out my Friday Afternoon Quarterback article this week (And you should. We’ll wait here until you get back), then you know I already feel like the Los Angeles Rams will be more than happy to get out of Wembley Stadium with a win in a close game victory over the not-so-hapless anymore Jacksonville Jaguars. The Miami Dolphins can play some offense, but not a lot of defense. The Cleveland Browns are just the opposite so that means the under is the safe bet there. While the Carolina Panthers can score points, the New York Jets most certainly can’t and this game could easily end 40-0 and hit the under.
As for the moneylines, I think the Falcons can upset and injured San Francsico 49ers team on the road, especially if Brock Purdy makes his first start in nearly a month. The Colts just look like a superior team, top to bottom, to me right now than they injury-riddled Los Angeles Chargers. And, much like Baker Mayfield, I take offense to the Buccaneers being the underdog against what I feel is an overrated Detroit Lions squad.
It’s the rest of the games we have to talk ourselves into, so let’s get to it.
The Vikings have a solid homefield advantage and elite defense. The Philadelphia Eagles are experiencing all sorts of offensive issues and, more importantly, AJ Brown’s feelings are hurt and his journal is full of the hurtful words in his heart. This could be the 2023-level explosion to wrap up Philly’s title defense.
The Denver Broncos haven’t shown up on offense all year and what would be more fun than watching Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo film their latest episode of Jackass at Mile High?
Finally, we have the Texans, who have managed to reboot their season with two consecutive wins. Knocking off a surging Seattle Seahawks could be the victory that propels Houston to its third consecutive AFC South title.
A $10 parlay bet on these moneylines and totals pays $20,483.22.
Follow Adam Greene on Blue Sky @AdamGreene13, threads @adam.greene and Twitter @TheFirstMan
