In the NewsMLBGame 3 World Series Best Bets and Prop Plays for Monday October 27th 

Game 3 World Series Best Bets and Prop Plays for Monday October 27th 

Summary

The World Series moves to Los Angeles for Game 3, with the Dodgers hosting the Blue Jays. The pivotal matchup features veteran Max Scherzer starting for Toronto against the Dodgers’ Tyler Glasnow, who has been strong since returning from injury. The series is tied after the Blue Jays’ explosive Game 1 victory was answered by a dominant pitching performance from the Dodgers in Game 2.

The Dodgers aim to leverage their home-field advantage, while Toronto hopes its potent offense, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., can pressure Glasnow early. Given the powerful lineups and the potential for both starters to be challenged, the best bet is for a high-scoring game, making the Over a compelling play. Key individual performances to watch include Guerrero Jr. collecting multiple hits and Freddie Freeman hitting a double.

The World Series shifts from Eastern Canada to California as the Dodgers host the next three games in Los Angeles.  Veteran Max Scherzer gets the start for the Blue Jays in Game 3 while Tyler Glasnow takes the mound for L.A.   We’ll break down this pivotal game and provide some insight for some player props.

Run LineMLTotal
Blue Jays+1.5 (-125)+170O8 (-104)
Dodgers-1.5 (+105)-189U8 (-1116)

Starting Pitchers

Toronto turns to veteran right-hander Max Scherzer. He comes into this game after re-establishing himself in the playoffs with a strong outing in the ALCS, and now gets the ball in a pivotal road game. 

The Dodgers counter with Tyler Glasnow, a right-hander who returned from injury mid-season, posted a 2.86 ERA over his final 13 starts and has struck out eight in each of his two most recent starts in this postseason. 

Given this matchup, both clubs will look for length and quality out of the starter as a foundation for success. For Toronto, the hope is that Scherzer can deliver a strong outing and put them ahead in the series; for the Dodgers, Glasnow offers a chance to recapture their home dominance and take control. 

Momentum, Context & Psychological Factors

Toronto got off to a dream start: a nine-run sixth inning in Game 1, including the first pinch-hit grand slam in World Series history from Addison Barger, and they stunned the Dodgers in front of a raucous home crowd.  But in Game 2 the Dodgers answered in style, courtesy of a near-masterpiece by their young ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto: a complete game, one run allowed, and eight strikeouts. That announced they’re far from beaten. 

Heading into Game 3, the shift of venue matters: the Dodgers return home, where they’ve been dominant for years, and will be eager to flex their advantage. Meanwhile the Blue Jays will hope to maintain the energy from their opener, avoid letting the home crowd in L.A. swing momentum, and stay within striking distance.

Path to Victory

For Toronto:

  • They must force Glasnow into a high pitch count early. Their offense has shown it can explode (as Game 1 proved) and needs to pressure the starter, especially in the early innings when starters are freshest.
  • Continue grinding at-bats and avoid easy outs; the Dodgers’ bullpen is a strength and giving them extra work helps the Jays.
  • Maintain defensive discipline and limit extra base opportunities. On the road, mistakes are magnified.
  • Get production from their stars: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.431 in postseason so far) and other emerging hitters like Ernie Clement (.429 in postseason) will carry much of the burden. 

For Los Angeles:

  • Glasnow must deliver a quality start—go deep into the game, limit walks, and make Toronto’s bats uncomfortable.
  • Turn the crowd and home energy into a boost. Dodgers at home are comfortable, and taking Game 3 would swing the series markedly in their favor.
  • The offense must revisit what worked in Game 2: set the tone early, get to the starter, and avoid letting Toronto build confidence.
  • Leverage their bullpen advantage. If the starter is sharp and the lead holds, the relief corps can handle late innings and protect the advantage.
  • The Dodgers have won 90 of 152 games this season when favored (59.2%)
  • LA is 37-19 in games when favored by at least -196 on the moneyline of the MLB betting markets
  • Toronto has won 47 of 81 games as underdogs this season
  • Blue Jays are 1-1 this season when underdogs of at least +162

Best Player Prop Plays

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.  – 2 Hits +180

Vladdy Guerrero Jr. is 5-14 with a home run and 3 RBIs against Tyler Glasnow in his career.  Three of his hits have been for extra bases including a couple of doubles and a home run. 

Guerrero Jr. is 3-for-8 in the series, but hasn’t gone yard just yet.  Could we see a homer in L.A.?    He’s been able to battle pitchers for long at bats, and has a chance to get a couple of hits in Game 3. 

Freddie Freeman – Double +320

Freddie Freeman has had 55 at-bats against Scherzer – the most among all Dodgers players and has a .200 batting average with three home runs and four doubles.  While he has just one hit through two games, he is due for a breakout, especially at home and hitting behind Shohei 

Ohtani and Mookie Betts.  At these odds, it’s worth a play.

Prediction

Given the pitching match-up and home advantage, the Dodgers enter as favorites.  But Toronto’s offense is dangerous, as we saw in Game 1.  If both teams get to the starters early, we could see early action from the bullpen.  Therefore, I expect a game with a lot of runs, so the over is the play here.  BEST BET: OVER 8 (-104).

Shane Pratt Shane is a seasoned sports betting handicapper and analyst with more than 3 decades of experience breaking down odds, trends and matchups across all major leagues. Known for data and stats-driven insights, specializing in NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NHL and MMA.

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