NFL Conference Championship Games: 6 Player Props Patriots-Broncos And Rams-Seahawks

Just three games remain in the 2025-26 season, but the most-watched and wagered games will draw plenty of interest beyond the spread, moneyline, and totals on the biggest playoff games. Proposition bets and player props are driving the sports betting handle more than ever, and the NFL Playoffs, including the upcoming Super Bowl LX, will offer more ways to win on prop bets.
Sunday’s AFC and NFC Conference Championship Games will provide more engaging and exciting action with player props. 

New England Patriots (-5) at Denver Broncos, game total 42.5 | 3 p.m. on CBS
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-2.5), game total 47 | 6:30 p.m. on FOX

Home-field advantage increases from the regular season to the playoffs and continues to get higher each round. A 6-point swing in the betting line now favors the Patriots on the road with the Broncos starting backup QB Jarrett Stidham after Bo Nix suffered a fractured ankle in overtime of last week’s 33-30 win over Buffalo. 

Opinions on both underdogs Broncos and Rams, along with the six player props below. 

Patriots-Broncos Player Props

1. Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson – Over 49.5 rushing yards
2. Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham – Over 13.5 rushing yards
3. Total sacks in game (both teams) – Over 6.5

Stats and Notes (some courtesy of Dr. Bob Sports): 

• It will be cold in Denver at kickoff on Sunday with temperatures below 20 degrees and light winds. 
• The Patriots were +0.17 in net EPA/play (2nd) and +0.8 in net yards per play (5th) this season. 
• This postseason, the Patriots’ defense has allowed 1 touchdown on 24 possessions to the Chargers (QB Herbert) and Texans (QB Stroud).
• Denver’s defense conceded just a 7.7% explosive play rate, the 4th-lowest since 2010.  The Broncos are the 3rd defense in the last five seasons to concede fewer than 5.0 yards per play in man coverage while running it at least 35% of the time. Most of the man coverage is Cover 1, which the Broncos call at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL.
• The Broncos’ defense led the NFL, averaging 4.0 sacks per game, and Denver is just the 9th defense this century to have a sack rate above 10%. Patriots QB Drake Maye has been sacked on 9.4% of his dropbacks, 29th in the league. 
• Defensive line play is crucial to postseason success, and teams averaging 3 or more sacks in the regular season are 46-26-1 ATS in the playoffs when not laying 7 points or more after Denver’s win last week over Buffalo.
• The Patriots, Broncos, and Seahawks all allow less than 100 rushing yards per game this season, including playoffs. But the Bills’ league-best running game (156/game) rushed for 183 yards on 36 carries against the Broncos in defeat last week, with QB Josh Allen rushing 12 times for 66 yards. 
• Patriots QB Drake Maye has rushed for 76 yards (14 attempts) in two playoff games against strong run defenses, LAC and HOU, and RB Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for 123 yards on 26 attempts after rushing for 279 yards in his final four regular-season games at more than 9.6 yards per carry. In the Divisional Round win over Houston, Stevenson was poked in the eye in the first half and missed some snaps. In the fourth quarter, when needing to control the ball and clock with a 12-point lead, the Patriots turned to veteran Stevenson for half of both his 16 carries and 70 yards (9/36).  
• Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham is only the seventh NFL QB since 1950 to start a playoff game during a season in which he never started once. The last 3 since 2000 went 0-3 with those teams scoring 10, 14, and 23 points. 

Rams-Seahawks Player Props

1. Rams QB Matthew Stafford – Over 255.5 passing yards
2. Seahawks QB Sam Darnold – Under 234.5 passing yards
3. Rams RB Kyren Williams – Over 53.5 rushing yards

Stats and Notes: 

• Temperatures in the mid to high 30’s with light winds and a near a 40% chance of rain in Seattle on Sunday at kickoff. 
• The Seahawks and Rams are the top 2 DVOA teams in the NFL, and have been since their first meeting in Week 11 when the Rams won 21-19 thanks to 4 INT’s by Seahawks QB Sam Darnold, playing without their starting left tackle in strong, gusting winds. 
• The Seahawks stole the rematch 38-37 in OT in Week 16 with the top NFC receivers Puka Nacua (12/225 yards, 2 TD’s) of the Rams and Jaxson Smith-Njigba (8/96, 1 TD) highlighting one of the best games of the year with Rams MVP quarterback Matthew Stafford passing for 457 yards and 3 TD’s. 
• The Seahawks allowed a league-low -0.21 EPA/rush despite playing nickel defense on 77% of its snaps (2nd-highest). Rams RB’s Kyren Williams (23/70 yards) and Blake Corum (14/48, TD) had success on the ground in the Week 16 contest, while Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III (11/100, TD) was even better.
• Seattle’s offense targeted wide receivers on 63.7% of passes (5th-most) this season, and WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba gained 3.62 yards per route run (2nd). 
• Seahawks QB Sam Darnold is limited in practice this week after playing through an oblique injury in the Divisional Round when he passed just 17 times, completing 12 for 124 yards and sitting most of the 4th quarter with the game in hand over the 49ers, 41-6.
• Seahawks RB Zach Chabonnet suffered a season-ending knee injury in the first half of the Divisional Round win over the 49ers. 
• In the last 40 years of NFL Conference Championship games, Playbook Sports notes that underdogs are 18-8 ATS if they won their last two playoff games as favorites (Rams). 
• NFL teams coming off a playoff victory of more than 32 points (Seahawks) are just 3-6 outright and 2-7 ATS in the following game since 1990, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS when that team is coming off consecutive SU and ATS wins.

Follow more NFL betting news throughout the playoffs at BetOnline, where live/in-game wagering and prop bets will drive more watch and wager action. You can bet on it.