NHL Best Bets For March 6th: Fade the Goalies, Back the Overs
Summary
Friday’s NHL schedule features two games expected to be high-scoring. The matchup between Colorado and Dallas should see plenty of goals, as both teams play fast and possess efficient, high-powered offenses, particularly on the power play. A back-and-forth game finishing with at least seven total goals is a strong possibility.
Similarly, the Edmonton Oilers’ defensive struggles make their game against Carolina a prime candidate for scoring. Edmonton has consistently allowed four or more goals recently, and both teams boast dangerous power plays that will likely push the total over 6.5. The expected open style of play supports betting on high-scoring outcomes in both contests.
Two games stand out on Friday night, and both point in the same direction: goals.
Colorado and Dallas tend to open games up when they meet, and Edmonton has been gifting goals to anyone who visits them.
Let’s get into the best NHL bets on the board for Friday, March 6th, 2026.
Quick Picks
| Game | Bet | Odds |
| Avalanche vs. Stars | Over 6 | -108 |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Over 6.5 | -116 |
Over 6 (-108) | Avalanche vs. Stars
Colorado plays fast and scores in bunches. Dallas doesn’t need many chances to finish. Put those two in the same game and six goals is a reasonable expectation, not a stretch.
The Stars are one of the more efficient finishing teams in the league. They’ll lose the shot battle and still put up three or four because they don’t waste their looks. At home, when they build a lead, they tend to open things up rather than slow it down.
Key Notes:
- Colorado leads the league in pace and offensive zone time
- Dallas’ power play ranks among the best in the league, and right now, they are on an absolute heater, hovering around 30%
- Over 6 pushes on a 4-2 result, a live landing spot with these offenses
Dallas’ power play is the swing factor. A couple of Colorado penalties can flip the game quickly. One Stars’ power-play goal changes the script, and Colorado usually answers by pushing the pace, not slowing it down.
At -108, you’re not paying a premium for a game that screams over on paper. I see a back-and-forth game that finishes 4-3 or goes to OT in a 3-3 tie.
The Play: Over 6 (-108)
Over 6.5 (-116) | Hurricanes vs. Oilers
Carolina creates offense even on the road; they don’t disappear away from home. They get their chances and usually find three goals. The problem for Edmonton is that they’ve been giving up four or more regularly. At some point, you just accept this team can’t defend or get any stops more often than not.
Key Notes:
- Edmonton has been allowing 4+ goals in 6 out of the last 7 games
- Both power plays are dangerous; Edmonton’s man-advantage has been on a heater
- Projected script: Carolina controls stretches at 5-on-5, Edmonton scores in bursts and on the man advantage
Edmonton’s power play is the over’s accelerant here. When they get those looks, they score, and once they do, Carolina doesn’t sit back. The game opens up, both teams chase at different points, and the total climbs without anyone planning for it.
At -116, you’re paying a small premium for a line that reflects the scoring environment. It’s justified. These teams haven’t been playing 3-2 games all year.
Play: Over 6.5 (-116)
