Phoenix Open Golf Odds And 2026 PGA Preview, Picks And Props

Following last week’s runaway 7-shot win by 45-year-old Justin Rose at the Farmers Insurance Open, the PGA Tour players head to TPC Scottsdale for the 2026 Phoenix Open. The 120 player field includes 15 of the top 30 in the world golf rankings including world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who won this event in 2022 and 2023 and comes off a win at The American Express tournament two weeks ago. Phoenix Open course information, odds, matchups, picks and props are part of the tournament preview with information you can bet on. 

Top players ranked No. 2-6 are not in Phoenix this week, but will be back next week for the opening Signature Event at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am on the Monterey Peninsula in Northern California, where Rory McIlroy and Justin Rose have won in recent years.  

The Course

The par 71 TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course plays to 7,261 yards with reachable three par 5’s less than 560 yards in the thinner air and altitude. Last year’s event produced a huge longshot winner with Thomas Detry (-24) running away to a 7-shot victory. Heavy favorite Scottie Scheffler finished T25 last year after winning in 2022 and 2023 and T3 in 2024. His first PGA Tour victory came at the Phoenix Open in 2022 when he rallied 44th place into the weekend and then shot 62 Saturday to move up to 3rd and then winning on Sunday shooting 67. Scheffler has since won 20 times total on the PGA Tour for lifetime exemption. When Scheffler won here twice, the scoring average was 70.29 and 70.98.

Despite average scoring conditions on Tour, TPC Scottsdale does rank more difficult in Proximity to Hole. Firm and fast conditions are projected with no rain, and the relatively large and flatter Bentgrass greens are overseeded with Poa Trivialis. The fairways and rough are ryegrass.

Take a hole-by-hole look at TPC Scottsdale – home of the “Greenest Show on Grass” and one of Tom Weiskopf’s greatest golf course designs. The closing stretch of holes includes:

• Island green par 5 at No. 15 with water on the left side the entire length of the fairway and green.
• Short par 3 at No. 16 with bleachers full of boisterous fans tee to green.
• Drivable risk/reward par 4 at No. 17 that Weiskopf said was his favorite drivable par 4 of the 71 he designed on all his courses.
• A drive over water on No. 18 and approach to an amoeba-shaped green surrounded by three bunkers.   

Last year’s stats showed TPC Scottsdale as the 10th shortest yardage course on Tour (7,261) with the 6th largest green size (7,069), 12th fewest bunkers (67) and T15th most holes with water in play (6). PGA Tour green sizes average just a tick under 6,000 square feet.  

Winning scores the past five years have been -24, -21, -19, -16 and -19 under par.  

Odds to Win 2026 Phoenix Open

Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from BetOnline refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live/in-game betting. Odds adjust during and following rounds. World Top 30 noted (*).

• +235 Scottie Scheffler*
• +2000: Xander Schauffele*
• +2500: Cameron Young* 
• +2800: Hideki Matsuyama*
• +3000: Si Woo Kim*
• +3500: Ben Griffin*, Sam Burns*
• +4000: Maverick McNealy*, Brooks Koepka
• +4000: Harris English*, Chris Gotterup*, J.J. Spaun*
• +4500: Viktor Hovland*, Jake Knapp
• +5000: Matt Fitzpatrick*, Rickie Fowler, S. Theegala
• +5500: Collin Morikawa* 
• +6000: H. Hall, C. Conners, P. Coody, Min Woo Lee
• +6500: N. Taylor, R. Hojgaard,  M. Thorbjornsen, M. McCarty
• +7000: Kurt Kitayama, Sepp Straka*
• +7500: Wyndham Clark
• +8000: Nicolai Hojgaard, Daniel Berger, Haotong Li
• +9000: A. Novak, Sam Stevens, T. Finau, K. Mitchell, JJ Poston
• +10000-125000: Bezuidenhout, Thompson, Higgo, Homa, Penge, M. Kim, 
• Olesen, Neergaard-Petersen, Rodgers, McGreevy, Bridgeman 
• 72-hole winning score: Over/Under 263.5 (Par 71)

Two-time champions include Scheffler (2022, 2023), Matsuyama (2016, 2017), Koepka (2015, 2021). Last year’s runaway win by Thomas Detry (-24) was a dominant 7-shot win for his only PGA Tour victory. Other Phoenix Open winners in the field include Nick Taylor (2024), Webb Simpson (2020), Rickie Fowler (2019) and Gary Woodland (2018).

Nine of the last 11 winners at the Phoenix Open also won either a major championship or The Players, but not last year’s runaway winner Thomas Detry, who is now playing golf on LIV. 

Six players in the 2026 Phoenix Open have multiple top 10 finishes over the last five years: Scheffler, Burns, Schauffele, Spieth, Theegala, and Nick Taylor, who won the event in 2024 after finishing 2nd to Scheffler in 2023.

Tournament Matchups And Props

BetOnline offers an extensive range of 72-hole head-to-head player tournament matchups each week, along with select round-by-round matchups. Here are some of the notable tournament matchups and players to watch at the 2026 Phoenix Open. Odds listed are moneyline (- is favorite, + is underdog), and BetOnline also offers top finishing position odds (top 5, 10, 20), make or miss the cut odds and more. Players who took early bets and money (*)

• Scheffer (-325) vs. Schauffele (+265)
• Si Woo Kim (-127)* vs. Young (+106) 
• Matsuyama (-138) vs. Burns (+115) 
• Berger (-175)* vs. Koepka (+145) 
• McNealy (-129) vs. Hovland (+108)
• Griffin (-138) vs. Fitzpatrick (+115)
• Fowler (-120) vs. Spieth (+100)* 
• English (-150) vs. Conners (+125)
• Knapp (-115) vs. Theegala (+105)
• Gotterup (-129) vs. Morikawa (+108) – bet Morikawa
• Spaun (-163) vs. Clark (-135)
• R. Hojgaard (-120) vs. Kitayama (+100)
• Thorbjornsen (-115) vs. Coody (-105)
• Hall (-129) vs. Taylor (+108)
• Poston (-120)* vs. Min Woo Lee (+100)
• Homa (-129) vs. Finau (+108)
• Thompson (-120) vs. Rodgers (+100)
• McCarty (-134) vs. Straka (+112)

BetOnline also allows bettors to wager on matchups, laying or taking 1.5 strokes. That’s what we did on Si Woo Kim at The American Express in his T6 finish after leading into the final round. Last week’s matchup winner on Maverick McNealy was also a top 10 finish. 

How To Understand Golf Betting Statistics And Strokes Gained

Consistent contenders at TPC Sawgrass have been strong Ball Strikers and hit lots of greens. Review strokes gained (SG) data and how to utilize stats into your golf handicapping and matchup analysis. 

Phoenix Open Picks And Stats

Players to target in outright win market and top 10 or 20 finish (odds for top 10)

• Sam Burns (+3500 and +350 top 10)
• Maverick McNealy (+4000 and +325 top 10)
• Collin Morikawa (+5500 and top 10 +450)
• Pierceson Coody (+6000 and +550 top 10) 
• Sam Stevens (+9000 and +600 top 10)
• Other big longshots Kurt Kitayama (+7000), Daniel Berger (+8000), Nicolai Hojgarrd (+8000), Akshay Bhatia (+135000), Johnny Keefer (+15000), Bud Cauley (+20000).

Sam Burns finished T3 in this event in 2024, and the 29-year-olds elite putting sets him up well on pure, fast greens as his approach play with wedges has been dialed in. Burns leads the field in putting from 8-15 feet, and more birdies are needed to keep pace with lower scores. 

Maverick McNealy enters off a top 10 last week at the Farmers Insurance Open where we targeted him to go well and he won our 3rd straight posted tournament matchup bet to start 2026. The 30-year-old Stanford product and former No. 1 ranked amateur finished T6 here in Phoenix in 2024 while ranking 5th in SG: Tee-to-Green with a best opening round 65. Last year the perennially good West Coast performer finished T9 at the Phoenix Open showing he can go low shooting 63 on Saturday. McNealy has finished well on other desert courses including at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas where he resides.   

Collin Morikawa has played this event just twice with a best finish of T25 on debut in 2020 when he led the field in Tee-to-Green stats. But his strong Ball Striking should have him performing better especially in the desert where he’s most familiar. Throw out the missed cut at The Sony off a layoff, as he missed too many short putts on less preferred surface but his long irons and approach play was solid in Round 2. The 28-year-old 2-time Major champion has finished top-2 on Tour in SG: Approach four times since 2020, and his odds now offer a generous return including top 10/20 finish. Morikawa is a tournament matchup underdog to Gotterup, who is playing well and strong Off-the-Tee, but has missed the cut both times in Phoenix.   

Pierceson Coody just finished T2 at last week’s Farmers Insurance Open, where he ranked No. 1 in Off-the-Tee stats at the Farmers event. The Korn Ferry Tour graduate now has three straight top 20 finishes to start the year. The driver-heavy setup at TPC Scottsdale should add to his strength with three reachable par 5’s to score. Coody also ranks top 3 in Greens in Regulation, and his odds are still too high for this 26-year-old third-generational pro golfer and rising star. Coody joins Scheffler, Spaun, Cam Young and Si Woo Kim as top players in this field who rank top 30 in Ball Striking and above average in Birdies or Better Gained, Scrambling Gained, and Bogey Avoidance with longshots Homa, Kirk, Thompson and McCarty also in that group.    

Sam Stevens has made the cut in each of his two starts in the Phoenix Open including T28 in 2024. Now he’s playing better with a pair of top 10’s in his last four starts and two other good places while ranking top 10 in Off-the-Tee stats in three of those four starts. The 29-year-old power player has solid Tee-to-Green form with better Approach play and stats

Akshay Bhatia has won on Tour in thin-air, altitude-type conditions, and he just turned 24 last week. Bud Cauley tied for 21st here last year, and his game has improved along with Nicolai Hojgaard, who finished T4 recently in the desert in Dubai and has strong iron play to improve in his T36 finish (-7) here on debut last year after an opening round 66. Daniel Berger tied for 2nd here last year (-17) with four strong rounds and has three other top-11 finishes in the Phoenix Open. Kurt Kitayama is another desert resident in Las Vegas who won the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. He’s a very good ball striker who has played well at TPC Scottsdale with a T8 (-13) in 2024 and T23 in 2023 despite an opening round 75.  

Bet on the Action

Golf continues to be one of the most popular sports to bet on. Beyond watching and wagering on the outright player to win a golf tournament, betting on golf provides other popular specific betting markets, especially during the four Major Championships and big Signature Events. 

Betting on a player’s finishing position (top 5, 10, 20), make or miss the cut, head-to-head tournament matchups, round leader and matchup markets and other prop bets allow bettors a bag full of options when wagering on golf. Bettors who strategize and are able to combine golf stats and course fit with data golf-driven insights can more consistently outperform the market. A key strategy is to understand how each tournament or major championship tests different aspects of golf and match those demands with player skill sets and their current form.

The PGA Tour and leading online sportsbook BetOnline supports responsible gambling, and encourages people to bet responsibly and sensibly and seek help with any addictions or problem gambling.

BetOnline provides numerous opportunities for fans to wager on their favorite players, whether you’re betting on individual matchups, round-by-round action or live/in-game betting to stay more engaged and entertained. Get in on the action and place your bets today, and follow more PGA betting news throughout the 2026 season including the most watched and wagered Signature Events, Majors and FedExCup Playoffs. 

You can bet on it.